analyze-move-risk-gauges-leadlag

Analyzes credit and money-center bank index moves with ML-powered classification and prediction.

3|1|Updated Jan 12, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills --skill analyze-move-risk-gauges-leadlag
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: analyze-move-risk-gauges-leadlag
Source: https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills/tree/main/skills/analyze-move-risk-gauges-leadlag
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills --skill analyze-move-risk-gauges-leadlag

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill requires pandas, numpy, yfinance, requests, websocket-client, and includes scripts (resource) and references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps analysts determine whether MOVE, the rate-volatility proxy, leads or lags VIX and credit spreads, and whether MOVE reacts calmly or fearfully during JGB yield moves.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Lead/Lag Analysis: computes cross-correlation lags between MOVE and VIX/CREDIT to identify lead/lag relationships.
  • Event Window Testing: detects JGB yield shocks and quantifies MOVE reactions.
  • Normalization & Visualization: applies Z-score standardization and can generate Bloomberg-style visualizations.
  • Use Case: Monitor MOVE leadership around rate surprises and quickly assess whether other risk indicators follow MOVE.

Quick Start

  • Install dependencies and run the main analysis: python scripts/analyze.py --start 2024-01-01 --end 2026-01-31
  • Generate a Bloomberg-style chart: python scripts/analyze.py --start 2024-01-01 --end 2026-01-31 --chart
  • Produce a rates-MOVE panic chart: python scripts/analyze.py --start 2024-01-01 --end 2026-01-31 --rates-chart

Frequently Asked Questions about analyze-move-risk-gauges-leadlag

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I analyze whether MOVE leads or lags VIX and credit spreads?

To analyze MOVE lead/lag relationships with VIX and credit spreads, apply cross-correlation on aligned public market data to identify leadership signals and quantify lag relationships between these risk indicators.

What is the best way to measure rate-volatility panic during JGB yield shocks?

The best way to measure rate-volatility panic during JGB yield shocks is to apply event-window testing on aligned data, using Z-score standardization to quantify whether MOVE reacts calmly or fearfully to the yield moves.

How do I run a cross-correlation analysis on MOVE and VIX data using Python?

You run cross-correlation analysis on MOVE and VIX data by executing the main Python script with defined start and end dates, which fetches market data, aligns the series, and computes the lag relationships automatically.

Do I need yfinance and pandas to perform event-window evaluation on rate volatility?

Yes, you need yfinance and pandas to perform event-window evaluation on rate volatility, as the core analysis requires fetching public market data and aligning time series for cross-correlation and Z-score standardization.

Can I generate Bloomberg-style charts for macro-rate environments and MOVE leadership?

Yes, you can generate Bloomberg-style charts for macro-rate environments by running the Python script with the chart flag, which visualizes Z-score standardized data and rates-MOVE panic reactions during event windows.