assumption-mapping

Extract falsifiable assumptions from plans and rate them on an importance-evidence grid.

3|Updated Apr 5, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/dvy1987/agent-loom --skill assumption-mapping-dvy1987
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: assumption-mapping
Source: https://github.com/dvy1987/agent-loom/tree/main/.agents/skills/assumption-mapping
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/dvy1987/agent-loom --skill assumption-mapping-dvy1987

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Many plans, strategies, and documents hide untested beliefs that can derail projects; this Skill makes those implicit assumptions explicit, assesses how critical and validated each one is, and focuses teams on testing what matters first.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Assumption extraction: Identify implicit and explicit beliefs from goals, metrics, strategy claims, GTM plans, and resourcing statements.
  • Falsifiable framing: Convert vague beliefs into specific, testable claims that can be proven true or false.
  • Prioritisation & experiments: Place assumptions on an importance vs evidence grid, highlight critical items, and recommend minimum viable experiments to validate them.
  • Use Case: Audit a product roadmap to find demand and monetization assumptions, then generate a prioritized list of cheap tests to run before major investment.

Quick Start

Run an assumption audit on the provided plan, list each assumption as a falsifiable claim, rate its importance and evidence, and return the prioritized assumption map with minimum tests for critical items.

Frequently Asked Questions about assumption-mapping

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I find hidden assumptions in a product roadmap or strategy document?

To find hidden assumptions in a product roadmap, you surface implicit beliefs from goals and metrics, convert them into falsifiable claims, and rate their importance against existing evidence. This exposes untested beliefs that can derail projects.

What is assumption mapping and how does it reduce project risk?

Assumption mapping reduces project risk by extracting untested beliefs from go-to-market plans, placing them on an importance versus evidence grid, and recommending minimum viable experiments to validate critical items before major investment.

How do I prioritize which product assumptions to test first?

You prioritize product assumptions to test by plotting them on an importance-evidence grid. This highlights critical items with high importance and low evidence, allowing teams to focus validation efforts and run cheap tests first.

Can I audit a PRD for untested monetization and demand assumptions?

Yes, you can audit a PRD for untested monetization and demand assumptions by extracting implicit beliefs from resourcing statements and strategy claims, then framing them as specific, testable claims to validate before scaling.

How do I convert vague strategy beliefs into testable claims for experiment design?

You convert vague strategy beliefs into testable claims for experiment design by framing them as specific, falsifiable statements that can be proven true or false, then generating minimum viable experiments to validate them.

When should I run an assumption audit on my research artifacts?

You should run an assumption audit on research artifacts when preparing for major investment, ensuring embedded beliefs are rated and critical items are tested with minimal experiments to reduce project risk.