assumption-testing

Extract, validate, and analyze evidence to test investment thesis assumptions.

2|Updated Sep 20, 2025
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/HuskyDanny/FinancialAgent --skill assumption-testing
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: assumption-testing
Source: https://github.com/HuskyDanny/FinancialAgent/tree/main/backend/src/agent/skills/debater/assumption-testing
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/HuskyDanny/FinancialAgent --skill assumption-testing

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This Skill rigorously challenges the core assumptions underpinning an investment thesis, identifying potential weaknesses and validating the thesis's robustness.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Assumption Extraction: Identifies explicit and implicit assumptions within an investment thesis.
  • Evidence Gathering: Utilizes various tools to collect supporting and contradicting evidence for each assumption.
  • Sensitivity Analysis: Assesses the impact on the thesis if a critical assumption proves false.
  • Use Case: An analyst can use this skill to systematically test the growth rate assumptions for a tech company, checking if market trends and competitor actions support or refute the projected revenue increases.

Quick Start

Test the assumptions for the investment thesis on symbol AAPL.

Frequently Asked Questions about assumption-testing

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I validate the underlying assumptions of my investment thesis?

To validate investment thesis assumptions, you need to extract explicit and implicit growth or market projections, then gather supporting and contradicting evidence using company overview, earnings, and news sentiment tools to assess robustness.

What is investment thesis assumption testing in financial analysis?

Investment thesis assumption testing is a financial analysis process that challenges core projections for growth, market, competitive, valuation, and macroeconomic factors to identify potential weaknesses and confirm thesis robustness.

How do I test growth rate assumptions for a tech stock against market trends?

To test growth rate assumptions for a tech stock, systematically extract projected revenue increases, then utilize market movers and competitor analysis tools to check if current trends support or refute the financial projections.

Can I assess the impact on my valuation if a critical investment assumption proves false?

Yes, you can assess the impact on your valuation by performing sensitivity analysis, which evaluates how your investment thesis holds up and measures the downstream effects if a critical macro or competitive assumption proves false.

Does investment assumption validation work for macroeconomic and competitive market scenarios?

Yes, investment assumption validation specifically targets macro and competitive scenarios by extracting relevant assumptions and cross-referencing them with market movers and news sentiment evidence to generate a comprehensive validation report.

What do I need to start validating financial thesis assumptions for a specific symbol?

To start validating financial thesis assumptions for a specific symbol, you need tools for company overview, earnings data, news sentiment, and market movers to provide the comprehensive evidence required for the analysis.