What problem does it solve?
It helps you evaluate whether a trading strategy’s backtest results are robust or likely to fail in live trading by enforcing pessimistic assumptions and systematic validation.
Core Features & Use Cases
- Robustness-first backtesting guidance: emphasizes finding strategies that “break the least” under friction and stress rather than maximizing paper returns.
- Stress testing playbook: covers parameter sensitivity, execution realism (slippage, commissions, worst-case fills), and time/regime robustness checks.
- Out-of-sample validation framework: provides walk-forward analysis and clear warning signs for curve-fitting, look-ahead bias, and fragile parameter dependence.
- Actionable evaluation criteria: defines Deploy / Refine / Abandon decision rules and recommends a structured scoring script for consistent analysis.
Quick Start
Use the backtest-expert skill to evaluate your proposed strategy by running an initial backtest, then performing stress tests for parameter sensitivity and slippage realism, and finally applying walk-forward validation to decide whether to deploy, refine, or abandon.