business-narrative-builder

Convert a company's business story into five quantitative valuation drivers.

Updated Sep 9, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/lyndonkl/hermesworld --skill business-narrative-builder-lyndonkl
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: business-narrative-builder
Source: https://github.com/lyndonkl/hermesworld/tree/main/shared/skills/business-narrative-builder
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/lyndonkl/hermesworld --skill business-narrative-builder-lyndonkl

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes references (resource) and assets (resource) components.

What problem does it solve? Valuations often start from numbers extrapolated without a story, or from stories with no numbers behind them. This Skill bridges that gap by translating a qualitative business narrative into the five inputs a discounted cash flow model needs: revenue growth, target operating margin, reinvestment efficiency, cost of capital, and failure probability. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Life Cycle Classification: Places the company in one of six corporate life cycle stages (Start-up through Decline) using a structured checklist, which shapes which drivers matter most. - TAM/SAM/SOM Sizing: Sizes the addressable market with both top-down and bottom-up methods and cross-checks the estimates, bounding revenue projections by realistic market share. - Narrative-to-Driver Mapping: Produces a value driver table where every number traces back to a sentence in the story, plus at least one alternative narrative with its own driver values. - Use Case: An analyst valuing Tesla circa 2018 classifies it as Young Growth, sizes the EV market at $500-600B, and derives a 25% revenue CAGR, 10% target margin, 2.5x sales-to-capital ratio, 8.5% WACC, and 10% failure probability, each justified by the narrative. ## Quick Start Ask the assistant to build a valuation narrative for a company, providing its industry, current revenue, operating income, and competitive landscape.

Frequently Asked Questions about business-narrative-builder

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I convert a business story into valuation inputs?

Follow the five-step narrative-to-numbers process: write the story, test it for plausibility, map each story element to a value driver (revenue growth, margin, sales-to-capital, WACC, failure probability), feed the drivers into a DCF, and refine with feedback. Every number must trace to a sentence in the narrative.

How do I estimate TAM for a company valuation?

Use both top-down (total market filtered by segment and geography) and bottom-up (potential customers times revenue per customer) methods, then cross-check that the estimates agree within 3x. Distinguish TAM from SAM and SOM, and cap implied market share at 30-40% in competitive markets.

What are the stages of the corporate life cycle?

The six stages are Start-up, Young Growth, High Growth, Mature Growth, Mature Stable, and Decline. Each stage has distinct revenue growth, earnings, funding, and risk characteristics that determine which valuation drivers dominate and what the narrative should focus on.

Does this Skill run the DCF valuation itself?

No. It produces the driver table that a DCF consumes, such as revenue CAGR, target margin, sales-to-capital ratio, WACC, and failure probability. The actual discounted cash flow computation is handled by a separate DCF valuation skill.

When should I include a failure probability in a valuation?

Include an explicit failure probability for companies in the Start-up, Young Growth, or Decline stages, typically 10-30% for young growth firms. Base it on cash burn rate, months of cash remaining, industry failure base rates, and an estimated distress value.

Why does my valuation narrative fail the plausibility check?

Common causes are implied market share above 30-40%, margins exceeding industry leaders without structural justification, growth above 20% sustained beyond 10 years, or a terminal growth rate above nominal GDP. Check each driver against TAM, industry benchmarks, and historical precedent.