check-odds

To aggregate real-time probability data from multiple prediction markets, use this skill to fetch and normalize data from various prediction market APIs. It synthesizes information from platforms like Metaculus and Polymarket into a single weighted probability.

Prediction market synthesis combines odds from multiple platforms into a single calibrated forecast. It handles market manipulation by evaluating market incentives, liquidity, and potential structural biases to provide an adjusted confidence score.

Yes, you need curl and jq installed in your environment to synthesize prediction market odds. These dependencies are required to execute HTTP requests and parse the JSON data returned from various prediction market APIs.

Yes, you can combine forecasting data from Metaculus, Manifold, and Kalshi into one probability. The skill performs multi-venue synthesis to merge data from these platforms, alongside Polymarket and PredictIt, into a single weighted probability.

The best way to check market probability for regulatory or economic events is using multi-venue synthesis. This approach prevents reliance on single-source bias or outdated information by aggregating calibrated forecasts across diverse prediction platforms.

To evaluate market liquidity and structural biases when forecasting future events, apply structural analysis to the aggregated data. This assesses market incentives and potential manipulation across platforms to provide a calibrated confidence score for decision-making.