climate-projection

Automate CMIP6 climate projections for VIC by extracting GCM data, computing delta-change signals, generating future forcing, and running multi-model ensembles. This Skill handles the end-to-end workflow for basins configured with CMFD or MSWX forcing.

The delta-change method computes monthly precipitation ratios and additive temperature deltas from CMIP6 data. These deltas are applied to historical VIC forcing to generate future climate scenarios for hydrological modeling.

Yes, you can use the NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 API to extract data from 34 global models for VIC ensemble analysis. Alternatively, local China CMIP6 data from 26 models is supported for regional assessments.

Run multi-model ensemble climate assessments by executing VIC across multiple CMIP6 models and SSPs. The workflow compares historical versus future hydrology to support climate risk assessment for your selected basin.

CMFD forcing data is required for China-local basins, while MSWX forcing supports global applications. The Skill is configured for basins worldwide where VIC is set up with these specific forcing datasets.

Delta-change methodology preserves historical climate variability while shifting mean precipitation and temperature. It does not capture changes in extreme events or storm frequency, limiting its use for non-stationary climate impact assessments in VIC.