counterfactual-reasoning

Decompose causal claims and enumerate competing explanations for research conclusions.

Updated Apr 17, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/RenJW418/RenJW-Research_skill --skill counterfactual-reasoning
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: counterfactual-reasoning
Source: https://github.com/RenJW418/RenJW-Research_skill/tree/main/counterfactual-reasoning
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/RenJW418/RenJW-Research_skill --skill counterfactual-reasoning

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Helps you systematically challenge a research conclusion by generating plausible alternative explanations and checking whether your evidence actually supports your claims, before you submit.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Counterfactual decomposition: Breaks down your conclusion into core claim, causal direction, scope assumptions, proposed mechanism, and evidence-to-claim inference distance.
  • Alternative explanation enumeration: Produces competing threats across confounding variables, reverse causation, selection bias, observer effects, and alternative mechanisms, including severity and likely handling status.
  • Boundary and reviewer simulation: Tests representativeness, time robustness, and context transferability, then simulates multiple reviewer stances with tailored response strategies.

Quick Start

Ask an AI to run counterfactual reasoning by providing your core conclusion, its key evidence, any known weaknesses, your research design overview, and the target journal so it can output a 4-stage pressure test.

Frequently Asked Questions about counterfactual-reasoning

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I stress-test research claims for alternative explanations before submission?

To stress-test research claims for alternative explanations, you provide your core conclusion, key evidence, known weaknesses, research design, and target journal to generate a staged pressure test. This process decomposes causal claims and enumerates competing threats like confounding variables and reverse causality.

What is counterfactual reasoning in academic research and peer review?

Counterfactual reasoning in academic research is a method to validate causal inference by decomposing conclusions and enumerating competing explanations. It helps anticipate reviewer critiques such as selection bias, reverse causality, and alternative mechanisms before peer review.

How do I anticipate reviewer critiques regarding confounding and selection bias?

You anticipate reviewer critiques regarding confounding and selection bias by simulating multiple reviewer stances tailored to your evidence. This boundary check validates representativeness and context transferability while generating response strategies for method validity threats.

Can I check method validity and scope boundaries against existing evidence?

Yes, you can check method validity and scope boundaries against existing evidence by applying counterfactual decomposition. This breaks down inference distance and tests time robustness, ensuring your evidence actually supports your proposed mechanism and claims.

What inputs do I need to generate alternative explanations for my research conclusion?

You need structured inputs including your core claim, key evidence, optional research design overview, target journal, and known weaknesses to generate alternative explanations. These inputs drive the 4-stage pressure test output for academic writing revision.

When should I use counterfactual decomposition for research critique?

You should use counterfactual decomposition for research critique during pre-submission revision when you need to validate causal direction and scope assumptions. It is essential when anticipating reviewer concerns about observer effects or alternative mechanisms in your methodology.