credit-bond-analysis

Estimate issuer and bond credit risk by combining credit spread decomposition with default-risk model outputs.

Updated Apr 14, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/loanntc/Paave --skill credit-bond-analysis
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: credit-bond-analysis
Source: https://github.com/loanntc/Paave/tree/main/skills/credit-analysis
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/loanntc/Paave --skill credit-bond-analysis

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps you evaluate fixed-income credit risk by converting bond yield, spread behavior, and issuer fundamentals into structured estimates of default risk and valuation signals.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Credit rating & spread analysis: Maps rating concepts to practical default-risk interpretation and explains how credit spreads decompose into default/liquidity/tax components for trade decisions.
  • Default risk models: Applies Altman Z-Score, Merton structural modeling, and KMV-style EDF logic to estimate distress probability and interpret results via safety/gray/danger zones.
  • China fixed-income scenario coverage: Provides frameworks for government/enterprise bonds, LGFV (cheng-tou) analysis, ABS/MBS tranche risk thinking, and interest-rate risk measures (duration, convexity, DV01, KRD) that support portfolio hedging.

Quick Start

Ask the skill to analyze an issuer’s credit risk and produce a credit spread and duration/DV01-style risk perspective for the bond(s) you specify.

Frequently Asked Questions about credit-bond-analysis

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I estimate default risk for a bond issuer using fundamental data?

You can estimate default risk by applying Altman Z-Score, Merton structural modeling, and KMV-style EDF logic to map issuer fundamentals into distress probability zones. This approach categorizes results into safety, gray, and danger zones for actionable credit signals.

What is the best way to decompose credit spreads for fixed-income trade decisions?

Credit spread decomposition breaks down bond spreads into default, liquidity, and tax components. Interpreting these distinct components helps you transform yield behavior into structured estimates for fixed-income trade decisions.

Can I analyze LGFV cheng-tou bonds and ABS MBS tranches for China fixed-income scenarios?

Yes, LGFV cheng-tou analysis and ABS MBS tranche risk framing are specifically supported. The skill provides tailored frameworks for government, enterprise, and structured bonds within China fixed-income markets.

How do I calculate duration, DV01, and KRD for bond portfolio hedging?

You can calculate duration, convexity, DV01, and KRD to measure interest-rate sensitivity. These deterministic valuation outputs support scenario-focused analysis and portfolio hedging strategies for specified bonds.

Does credit-bond-analysis work without integrating external data dependencies?

Yes, credit-bond-analysis operates independently with no listed dependencies. You can directly request issuer credit risk evaluations and receive bond valuation signals without needing external modules.

When should I not use Merton structural modeling for credit risk evaluation?

Merton structural modeling relies on issuer fundamentals and equity volatility, making it less suitable when underlying asset data is opaque or unavailable. In such cases, alternative default risk models like Altman Z-Score may provide better distress probability estimates.