earnings-attribution

Analyze stock price moves after earnings by attributing reactions to metric surprises.

3|1|Updated Dec 2, 2024
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/faisalanjum/EventTrader --skill earnings-attribution
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
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Skill: earnings-attribution
Source: https://github.com/faisalanjum/EventTrader/tree/main/.claude/archive/skills/earnings-attribution-v1-monolithic
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/faisalanjum/EventTrader --skill earnings-attribution

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes scripts (resource) and references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill analyzes stock price movements following earnings announcements, pinpointing the exact reasons for the market's reaction by focusing on the difference between actual results and expectations.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Surprise-Based Analysis: Calculates and ranks the impact of EPS, revenue, and guidance surprises.
  • Evidence-Driven Attribution: Identifies the primary driver and contributing factors with cited evidence.
  • Confidence Assessment: Provides a clear confidence level (High/Medium/Insufficient) for each analysis.
  • Use Case: After a company releases its earnings report, use this Skill to understand whether the stock moved because of a better-than-expected EPS, a surprising guidance cut, or another fundamental factor, backed by data.

Quick Start

Analyze the stock movement for ticker AAPL after its latest earnings report.

Frequently Asked Questions about earnings-attribution

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I analyze stock price movements after an earnings announcement?

Earnings surprise analysis identifies the exact reasons for market reaction by calculating the difference between actual financial results and expectations. It ranks the impact of EPS, revenue, and guidance surprises to pinpoint fundamental stock price drivers.

What is the best way to attribute a stock's market reaction to specific financial metric surprises?

Evidence-driven financial attribution identifies the primary driver and contributing factors behind a price move using cited evidence. It assesses confidence levels as High, Medium, or Insufficient to clarify the impact of specific metric surprises.

How do I assess the confidence level of a fundamental stock analysis?

Assess confidence levels by synthesizing earnings data from graph databases and search APIs to evaluate the strength of evidence. The analysis assigns a High, Medium, or Insufficient confidence rating based on the available financial attribution data.

Does earnings attribution work with conflicting data sources and historical trends?

Yes, earnings attribution handles complex scenarios involving conflicting data sources, historical trends, and guidance cuts. It synthesizes conflicting data points from graph databases and search APIs to accurately attribute market reactions to fundamental factors.

Why does a stock price drop after a positive EPS surprise?

A stock price can drop after a positive EPS surprise if other fundamental factors like a guidance cut or weak revenue surprise outweighed the positive earnings. Earnings attribution calculates and ranks these conflicting metric surprises to identify the actual primary driver.