earnings-forecast

Compare custom EPS forecasts with analyst consensus to surface trading signals.

Updated Apr 9, 2026

Search Tags:#forecasting #earnings #trading-signals #pead #sue #analyst-momentum #chinese-equities

Ready to run

npx skills add https://github.com/JacobHsu/vibe-trading-agent --skill earnings-forecast-jacobhsu

💬 Prompt for ChatGPT / Claude Chat▼

Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: earnings-forecast
Source: https://github.com/JacobHsu/vibe-trading-agent/tree/main/agent/src/skills/earnings-forecast
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/JacobHsu/vibe-trading-agent --skill earnings-forecast-jacobhsu

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This skill captures earnings surprise opportunities by comparing custom EPS forecasts with consensus expectations to time PEAD-driven trade entries and exits before the broader market reacts.

Core Features & Use Cases

Systematic Forecasting: Provides top-down and bottom-up EPS construction paths with macro, industry, and company assumptions tailored to A-share names.
Consensus Deviation Analytics: Calculates SUE, ERM, and dispersion metrics so you can label over- or under-performance and spot momentum in analyst revisions.
Operational Signals: Defines PEAD holding windows, buy/sell thresholds, and risk controls that align with regional earnings calendars and limited shorting environments.

Quick Start

Ask the earnings-forecast skill to compare your EPS projection with consensus data, calculate SUE thresholds, and suggest PEAD trades.

Frequently Asked Questions about earnings-forecast

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema

How do I calculate SUE thresholds for predicting earnings surprises?▼

You calculate SUE thresholds by comparing custom EPS forecasts against analyst consensus data to measure deviation, enabling you to label earnings surprise performance and spot momentum in analyst revisions.

How does PEAD work when generating trading signals for A-share equities?▼

PEAD trading signals work by defining holding windows and buy/sell thresholds based on earnings surprises, tailored to regional earnings calendars and market environments with limited shorting options.

Can I build top-down and bottom-up EPS forecasts for Chinese equities?▼

Yes, you can build top-down and bottom-up EPS forecasts for Chinese equities by applying macro, industry, and company assumptions specifically tailored to A-share names within your equity research workflow.

What is analyst revision momentum and how is it tracked?▼

Analyst revision momentum is the trend of changes in analyst estimates, tracked by calculating dispersion and ERM metrics against consensus data to identify shifting market expectations before broader reactions.

Does this earnings forecasting approach work in markets with limited shorting?▼

Yes, this approach works in limited shorting environments by applying configurable holding periods, buy/sell thresholds, and specific risk controls that align with regional A-share equity earnings calendars.

What is the best way to time trade entries using earnings surprise opportunities?▼

The best way to time trade entries using earnings surprise opportunities is to calculate consensus deviation metrics like SUE, then execute PEAD-driven trades before the broader market reacts.