evaluative-reasoning-deception

Assess claim credibility using evidence-based evaluative reasoning and probabilistic assessment.

Updated Aug 27, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/kotarosan-dev/02_rd --skill evaluative-reasoning-deception
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: evaluative-reasoning-deception
Source: https://github.com/kotarosan-dev/02_rd/tree/main/Books/2026/01/20260127_%E6%AC%BA%E7%9E%9E%E3%81%A8%E5%98%98%E7%99%BA%E8%A6%8B%E3%81%AE%E7%A7%91%E5%AD%A6%E5%85%A5%E9%96%80
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/kotarosan-dev/02_rd --skill evaluative-reasoning-deception

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

It helps practitioners and researchers avoid common myths and cognitive biases when judging the truthfulness of claims by providing a structured, scientific framework for evaluative reasoning and probabilistic judgment.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Structured assessment process: Phase-based workflow (claim clarification, premise identification, evidence quality assessment, alternative hypothesis generation, Bayesian updating).
  • Practical interview techniques: Guidance on designing information-gathering interviews, cognitive-load and unexpected-question tactics, and SUE-style evidence confrontation.
  • Decision support for diverse contexts: Use in hiring decisions, investigative interviews, compliance reviews, media fact-checking, and research evidence appraisal.
  • Interpretability and ethics: Emphasizes transparent reasoning, explicit priors/likelihoods, limits of inference, and ethical constraints to minimize false positives.

Quick Start

Assess the credibility of the claim by listing available supporting and contradicting evidence, estimating a probabilistic confidence, and recommending targeted follow-up questions or evidence-gathering steps.

Frequently Asked Questions about evaluative-reasoning-deception

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I assess the credibility of a claim using evidence-based reasoning?

To assess claim credibility using evidence-based reasoning, input the claim with contextual metadata, supporting and contradicting evidence, and the system generates a probabilistic assessment with explicit reasoning and recommended next actions.

What is the best way to detect deception in investigative interviews?

Detect deception in investigative interviews by applying cognitive-load tactics, unexpected questions, and SUE-style evidence confrontation, avoiding common myths and cognitive biases through a structured, scientific framework.

How does Bayesian updating work for fact-checking and evidence assessment?

Bayesian updating for fact-checking works by processing a phase-based workflow: clarifying claims, identifying premises, assessing evidence quality, generating alternative hypotheses, and updating probabilistic confidence accordingly.

Can I use structured evaluative reasoning for hiring decisions and compliance reviews?

Yes, you can use structured evaluative reasoning for hiring decisions and compliance reviews by inputting candidate claims or compliance statements, evaluating supporting evidence, and receiving transparent probabilistic judgments.

What are the limitations of probabilistic judgment in deception detection?

Limitations of probabilistic judgment in deception detection include explicit priors, likelihood limits of inference, and ethical constraints designed to minimize false positives, requiring transparent reasoning rather than absolute conclusions.