What problem does it solve? Organizers of established conferences and hackathons face recurring pressure to grow without knowing whether demand truly supports it, which lever to pull, or how much venue-contract risk to accept. This Skill turns that decision into a gated, evidence-based process instead of a guess driven by one viral sellout or an anchor sponsor's check. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Demand-headroom gate: Requires repeated sub-hour sellouts, a 30-50% waitlist, and unsolicited sponsor inbound across editions before any growth lever is chosen, and checks sellout speed for batch-release manufacturing. - One-lever growth menu: Ranks venue squeeze, price-led growth, track addition, day addition, and venue step-up by effort, value, efficiency, and compliance cost, with the single-edition multi-rung leap deleted outright. - Deliberate non-growth menu: Treats caps, group-purchase bans, application-plus-lottery allocation, and deliberate shrink as real strategies, including burnout as a named reversal benchmark. - Financial risk gate: Surfaces deposits of 25-50%, attrition and F&B minimum penalties, and 9-18 month venue lead times before any venue-touching commitment. - Use Case: A 400-person conference sells out in 25 minutes with a 170-person waitlist and is offered a 900-seat hall at 40% deposit. The Skill rejects the jump because the fast sellout has not repeated across editions, recommends a venue squeeze instead, and installs a four-signal warning watch. ## Quick Start Ask the Skill whether your established conference should grow next edition, for example: our 300-person event sold out in 20 minutes with a 200-person waitlist, should we sign the 600-seat venue?