What problem does it solve?
This Skill helps you measure how a specific event affects a firm's stock performance by estimating abnormal returns against a counterfactual “normal return” model.
Core Features & Use Cases
- Estimate normal returns: Fit a market model (OLS) or Fama-French 3-factor model on an estimation window to compute expected returns.
- Compute event impacts: Calculate abnormal returns (AR) and cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) for short event windows, plus long-run buy-and-hold abnormal returns (BHAR) for post-event horizons.
- Statistical testing for significance: Apply cross-sectional t-tests, the BMP standardized test, and a Corrado-style non-parametric rank test to evaluate whether observed effects are statistically different from zero.
Use Case: Estimate the impact of FDA approval announcements for multiple biotech tickers by computing CAR[-1,+1], running BMP significance tests across firms, and optionally assessing long-run IPO-style underperformance via 36-month BHAR.
Quick Start
Ask the AI to compute CAR[-1,+1] and BMP test p-values for a list of tickers around given event dates using yfinance price data and an estimation window of [-250,-11].