What problem does it solve? When a committed shipment tracks late against its OTIF window, transport desks either over-expedite slips the buffer would have covered or under-catch misses that trigger penalties and chargebacks. This Skill replaces the gut call with a priced decision: it computes the exposure of a miss, the risk reduction a premium mode buys, and the incremental premium, then recommends the lowest-expected-cost option. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Risk-adjusted breakeven pricing: Computes exposure E (OTIF penalty + retailer chargeback + lost-sale margin), miss probabilities on each path, and the incremental premium, then applies the rule expedite when Premium < dP x E. - Guardrails against over-expediting: Buffer-covered guard, capacity-real guard, materiality floor, per-PO vs per-line partial-expedite check, and an account-priority floor surfaced at the gate rather than auto-fired. - Gated committing writes: Detection and pricing run unattended, but placing the expedite tender in Oracle OTM or SAP TM holds for human approval, with a failure-to-recovery playbook covering stale quotes, lost capacity, double tenders, and stale contract terms. - Use Case: A top-account shipment is one day late with a $1,900 team-drive premium on the table; the Skill re-reads the live ETA, rate, and capacity, prices absorb at $2,975 vs expedite at $2,425, and recommends expedite with a $550 expected saving for planner approval. ## Quick Start Ask the agent whether to expedite or absorb a specific late shipment, providing the order value, contract OTIF terms, live ETA, and the premium freight quote.
