factor-research

Evaluate financial factor predictive validity via IC/IR testing and quantile backtesting.

Updated Jun 30, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/20YN04/vibe-trading-macos --skill factor-research-20yn04
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: factor-research
Source: https://github.com/20YN04/vibe-trading-macos/tree/main/agent/src/skills/factor-research
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/20YN04/vibe-trading-macos --skill factor-research-20yn04

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill requires pandas, numpy, scipy.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill addresses the challenge of identifying and validating predictive stock-selection factors, preventing the use of ineffective or biased signals in trading strategies.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Statistical Validation: Performs IC/IR analysis to determine the predictive power and stability of trading factors.
  • Quantile Backtesting: Evaluates factor performance by sorting instruments into groups to visualize monotonicity and long-short spreads.
  • Use Case: A quantitative researcher can use this to test whether a new momentum factor is truly predictive or merely a result of look-ahead bias, and then determine the optimal weight for combining it with existing factors.

Quick Start

Use the factor-research skill to analyze the predictive power of momentum-factor.csv against returns.csv and save the results to the output directory.

Frequently Asked Questions about factor-research

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I backtest a quantitative trading factor to check for look-ahead bias?

You can backtest a quantitative trading factor for look-ahead bias by aligning cross-sectional instrument return data with factor exposures before running quantile backtests. This process ensures temporal alignment, preventing future data from inflating the predictive validity of your signal.

What is IC/IR analysis in quantitative factor evaluation?

IC/IR analysis in quantitative factor evaluation measures the predictive power and stability of a trading signal using Information Coefficient and Information Ratio statistics. It determines whether a factor consistently predicts future asset returns across a historical time series.

How do I test cross-sectional factor monotonicity using pandas and numpy?

You test cross-sectional factor monotonicity using pandas and numpy by sorting instruments into quantile portfolios based on factor exposures. This quantile backtesting approach visualizes the return spread between top and bottom groups to confirm a linear predictive relationship.

Can I use scipy to optimize multi-factor combination strategies for alpha?

Yes, you can use scipy to optimize multi-factor combination strategies for alpha by applying statistical testing to evaluate individual factor decay and predictive validity. This allows you to determine optimal weights for combining new signals with existing factors.

What's the best way to evaluate a momentum factor CSV against historical returns?

The best way to evaluate a momentum factor CSV against historical returns is to run IC/IR statistical testing alongside quantile backtesting. This validates the signal's predictive power, checks for decay, and outputs the long-short spread performance.