forecasting-tools

Fetch Metaculus questions and post predictions programmatically.

Updated Dec 3, 2025
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/rapturt9/sound-reasoning-monitor --skill forecasting-tools
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: forecasting-tools
Source: https://github.com/rapturt9/sound-reasoning-monitor/tree/main/.claude/skills/forecasting-tools
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/rapturt9/sound-reasoning-monitor --skill forecasting-tools

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Engaging with forecasting platforms like Metaculus, building prediction models, and conducting structured research can be time-consuming and manual. This Skill provides a comprehensive toolkit to automate these processes, from fetching questions to posting predictions and backtesting strategies, allowing you to focus on strategic insights.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Metaculus Integration: Programmatically fetch questions, filter by type or status, and post predictions to Metaculus, streamlining your forecasting workflow.
  • Automated Forecasting Bots: Deploy TemplateBot to research questions, generate predictions, and manage forecasting workflows, freeing you from manual oversight.
  • AI-Powered Research: Utilize SmartSearcher for cited web research and specialized agents (e.g., KeyFactorsResearcher) to inform predictions, enhancing accuracy and efficiency.
  • Use Case: Set up a bot to automatically monitor new questions in a Metaculus tournament, conduct research using AI, and post predictions, ensuring you never miss an opportunity to contribute.

Quick Start

Use the forecasting-tools skill to find all open binary questions in the current Metaculus Quarterly Cup and list their titles.