What problem does it solve?
Engaging with forecasting platforms like Metaculus, building prediction models, and conducting structured research can be time-consuming and manual. This Skill provides a comprehensive toolkit to automate these processes, from fetching questions to posting predictions and backtesting strategies, allowing you to focus on strategic insights.
Core Features & Use Cases
- Metaculus Integration: Programmatically fetch questions, filter by type or status, and post predictions to Metaculus, streamlining your forecasting workflow.
- Automated Forecasting Bots: Deploy
TemplateBot to research questions, generate predictions, and manage forecasting workflows, freeing you from manual oversight.
- AI-Powered Research: Utilize
SmartSearcher for cited web research and specialized agents (e.g., KeyFactorsResearcher) to inform predictions, enhancing accuracy and efficiency.
- Use Case: Set up a bot to automatically monitor new questions in a Metaculus tournament, conduct research using AI, and post predictions, ensuring you never miss an opportunity to contribute.
Quick Start
Use the forecasting-tools skill to find all open binary questions in the current Metaculus Quarterly Cup and list their titles.