global-macro

Generate structured global macro factor scores and asset-class weight recommendations.

Updated Apr 14, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/loanntc/Paave --skill global-macro-loanntc
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: global-macro
Source: https://github.com/loanntc/Paave/tree/main/skills/global-macro
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/loanntc/Paave --skill global-macro-loanntc

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps you structure and quantify macro drivers—central-bank policy, FX regimes, geopolitics, and global capital flows—so you can translate them into cross-asset allocation signals.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Macro factor construction: Builds a framework that links central-bank policy transmission to yields, credit spreads, and asset valuation impacts.
  • FX forecasting toolkit: Applies PPP, interest parity (UIP/CIP), and BEER-style equilibrium thinking to assess USD/CNY direction.
  • Risk and flow scoring: Proxies geopolitical risk and tracks capital flow indicators (EPFR, northbound flows, TIC, FX reserves) to inform cycle positioning.
  • Dashboard-ready outputs: Produces cycle positioning, factor scores, asset mapping recommendations, and risk warnings for research and backtesting.

Quick Start

Ask the AI to generate a macro analysis report for the current Fed/ECB/BOJ stance, USD/CNY conditions, geopolitical context, and capital flow persistence, and then map the resulting factor scores to suggested weights for China A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, gold, and US Treasuries.

Frequently Asked Questions about global-macro

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I translate central-bank policy and capital flows into cross-asset allocation signals?

It combines central-bank policy transmission, FX regime forecasting, geopolitical risk proxies, and global capital flow tracking to produce quantifiable factor scores. These scores range from -2 to +2 and map directly to asset-class weight recommendations.

What is the best way to forecast USD/CNY direction using macro analysis?

The framework assesses USD/CNY direction by applying PPP, interest parity (UIP/CIP), and BEER-style equilibrium thinking. It integrates these FX forecasting models with broader macro cycle positioning to inform cross-asset allocation.

Can I use geopolitical risk proxies and capital flow tracking for cycle positioning?

Yes, the framework explicitly proxies geopolitical risk and tracks capital flow indicators like EPFR, northbound flows, TIC, and FX reserves. These inputs directly inform cycle positioning and generate risk warnings for research and backtesting.

How do I map macro factor scores to asset-class weights for China A-shares and gold?

You generate a macro analysis report covering Fed, ECB, and BOJ stances, USD/CNY conditions, and capital flow persistence. The resulting factor scores from -2 to +2 are then mapped to suggested weights for assets like China A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, gold, and US Treasuries.

Does this macro analysis framework support scenario generation and backtesting workflows?

Yes, the framework applies to scenario and backtesting workflows across major horizons. It produces dashboard-ready outputs including cycle positioning, factor scores, asset mapping recommendations, and risk warnings designed specifically for research and backtesting.