hypothesis-building

Formalize causal hypotheses into estimands for preregistration and analysis planning.

39|1|Updated Jan 21, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/scdenney/open-science-skills --skill hypothesis-building-scdenney
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: hypothesis-building
Source: https://github.com/scdenney/open-science-skills/tree/main/plugin/skills/hypothesis-building
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/scdenney/open-science-skills --skill hypothesis-building-scdenney

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Transform theoretical concepts into falsifiable, counterfactual-based hypotheses with clearly defined estimands and preregistration-ready plans, reducing ambiguity in causal inference and analysis design.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Map theoretical claims to precise estimands (SATE/PATE) and a three-level specification (conceptual, operationalized, statistical) to guide analysis.
  • Compare NHST, equivalence, and minimum-effect tests with explicit SESOI, power considerations, and pre-registered decision rules.
  • Support multi-experiment architectures with counter-hypothesis design and micro-macro bridging across levels of analysis.

Quick Start

Draft a basic three-tier hypothesis with an estimand, preregister it, and map it to your regression specification.

Frequently Asked Questions about hypothesis-building

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I write a falsifiable hypothesis with a clearly defined estimand for preregistration?

To write a falsifiable hypothesis for preregistration, map theoretical claims to precise estimands like SATE or PATE. This process uses a three-level specification—conceptual, operationalized, and statistical—to reduce ambiguity and explicitly guide your regression model.

What is the difference between SATE and PATE when specifying causal hypotheses?

SATE (Sample Average Treatment Effect) and PATE (Population Average Treatment Effect) are estimands defining your causal hypothesis scope. Specifying them during preanalysis clarifies whether your statistical inferences target the sampled data or the broader population.

How do I choose between NHST and equivalence testing for my power analysis?

Choosing between NHST and equivalence testing requires defining a SESOI (Smallest Effect Size of Interest). This Skill helps you compare minimum-effect tests with explicit power considerations to establish pre-registered decision rules for your analysis.

How do I map a conceptual hypothesis to a statistical regression model?

Mapping a conceptual hypothesis to a statistical model requires operationalizing the claim into a defined treatment contrast. This Skill formalizes that mapping by specifying backdoor adjustments and linking your theoretical construct directly to the regression specification.

Can I design counter-hypotheses for multi-experiment architectures in social science research?

Yes, this Skill supports multi-experiment architectures by designing counter-hypotheses and bridging micro-macro levels of analysis. It applies causal inference frameworks across social science contexts to maintain coherent estimand specifications.

When should I include backdoor adjustments in my preanalysis plan?

Include backdoor adjustments in your preanalysis plan when confounding variables threaten causal inference. Identifying these adjustments is necessary to formally isolate the treatment contrast and accurately estimate the defined estimand.