hypothesis-track

Append evidence to open hypotheses and propose validation or refutation decisions.

1|Updated May 13, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/argen/hornero --skill hypothesis-track
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: hypothesis-track
Source: https://github.com/argen/hornero/tree/main/skills/hypothesis-track
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/argen/hornero --skill hypothesis-track

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes scripts (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps product managers manage and track evidence for open hypotheses, ensuring that observations are recorded and analyzed in a structured manner.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Evidence Logging: Append evidence to open hypotheses as soon as it's noticed.
  • Threshold Analysis: Automatically recognize when evidence crosses a threshold, triggering a decision proposal.
  • Decision Proposals: Suggest refutation or validation decisions based on evidence.
  • Use Case: After a feature ships, use this Skill to update a hypothesis with new evidence, and let it propose a decision based on whether the prediction was met or a falsifier was triggered.

Quick Start

Use the /hypothesis-track command followed by the hypothesis ID to append evidence and propose decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions about hypothesis-track

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
What is hypothesis tracking in product management?

Hypothesis tracking involves appending evidence to open product hypotheses to validate or refute predictions. It analyzes observations in a structured manner and automatically proposes decisions when evidence crosses defined thresholds.

How do I append evidence to an open hypothesis and propose a decision?

Use the /hypothesis-track command followed by the hypothesis ID to append evidence and propose decisions. This logs new observations into the chronicle system and automatically suggests validation or refutation based on threshold analysis.

How does threshold analysis work for hypothesis evidence management?

Threshold analysis automatically recognizes when appended evidence crosses predefined limits for an open hypothesis. Once crossed, it triggers an automated decision proposal suggesting either refutation or validation of the original prediction.

Do I need a chronicle system to track hypothesis evidence?

Yes, a chronicle system is required for evidence and decision tracking. The hypothesis tracking process depends on interaction with this chronicle system to log observations and manage the resulting decision proposals effectively.

When should I use automated decision proposals for product strategy?

Use automated decision proposals after a feature ships and new evidence is collected. The system proposes a decision based on whether the prediction was met or a falsifier was triggered, ensuring structured evidence management for product strategy.

What are the limitations of using scripts for evidence logging?

The primary limitation is the dependency on a chronicle system for tracking evidence and decisions. Without this external system interaction, the scripts cannot independently manage threshold analysis or generate automated decision proposals.