macro

Identify macro regimes and construct four-scenario trade tickets with IS-LM checks.

2|Updated Mar 26, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/tmcga/alpha-stack --skill macro
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: macro
Source: https://github.com/tmcga/alpha-stack/tree/main/skills/macro
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/tmcga/alpha-stack --skill macro

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Frame a structured, falsifiable macro thesis and translate it into actionable cross-asset trade ideas by identifying regimes, testing scenarios, and checking IS-LM consistency.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Regime identification across growth, inflation, and policy dimensions to map to a macro regime.
  • Scenario tree construction with base, bull, bear, and tail cases and scenario-weighted P&L mapping.
  • Central bank and balance-sheet analysis to uncover mispricing in rate paths and policy signals.
  • Cross-asset trade expression: rates, FX, equities, and commodities expressed through a single, testable thesis.

Quick Start

Build a top-down macro view for a country over the next 12 months, identify the regime with at least three supporting indicators, construct a four-scenario tree, and outline a trade ticket.

Frequently Asked Questions about macro

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I build a falsifiable macro thesis for cross-asset trading?

Construct a macro trade thesis by identifying the current growth, inflation, and policy regime with at least three supporting indicators. You then build a four-scenario tree with probability weights and translate the view into a testable cross-asset trade ticket.

What is a macro regime and how does it drive rates, FX, and equity trades?

A macro regime is the current state of growth, inflation, and policy stance for a specified country. Identifying this regime maps directly to cross-asset implications, allowing you to quantify directional biases for rates, FX, equities, and commodities within a single thesis.

How do I map a base, bull, bear, and tail scenario tree for portfolio analysis?

Map a scenario tree by assigning probability weights to base, bull, bear, and tail cases for your specified country. This scenario-weighted approach quantifies cross-asset P&L implications and produces a structured exit framework for your portfolio trades.

Does this macro analysis approach include IS-LM consistency checks?

Yes, the macro analysis includes IS-LM consistency checks to validate the internal logic of your growth and policy stance assumptions. This ensures your central bank balance-sheet analysis and rate path mispricing theories align before generating a trade ticket.

Can I use this framework to analyze central bank policy and rate path mispricing?

Yes, you can analyze central bank policy and balance sheets to uncover mispricing in rate paths. The framework integrates these policy signals with your identified macro regime to formulate actionable cross-asset trade expressions across rates and FX.

When should I not use a top-down macro regime framework for trading?

Avoid using a top-down macro regime framework when you need high-frequency intraday signals or lack sufficient macroeconomic data to establish at least three supporting indicators. The approach is designed for 12-month structured cross-asset theses rather than short-term tactical scalping.