macro-analysis

Interpret macroeconomic indicators to identify cycle stage and asset allocation bias.

30.4k|4.9k|Updated Apr 1, 2026

Search Tags:#asset allocation #macroeconomics #china #us #central bank #cycle analysis #europe

Ready to run

npx skills add https://github.com/HKUDS/Vibe-Trading --skill macro-analysis

💬 Prompt for ChatGPT / Claude Chat▼

Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: macro-analysis
Source: https://github.com/HKUDS/Vibe-Trading/tree/main/agent/src/skills/macro-analysis
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/HKUDS/Vibe-Trading --skill macro-analysis

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This Skill transforms sprawling macro data from China, the United States, and Europe into a single, coherent cycle assessment so investors can act on directional signals instead of interpreting each release in isolation.

Core Features & Use Cases

Cycle Positioning Framework: Evaluates GDP, PMI, CPI, and term spreads to locate the economy on the Merrill Lynch clock and estimate stage duration.
Policy Interpretation: Reads Fed, PBOC, and ECB toolkits to differentiate hawkish versus dovish stances and surface policy conflicts.
Asset Allocation Tilt: Translates macro posture into over/under weights across equities, bonds, commodities, and cash, with China or global style and sector preferences when policy tone shifts.

Quick Start

Ask macro-analysis to assess current China, US, and European macro indicators and recommend asset tilts based on the four-stage cycle model.

Frequently Asked Questions about macro-analysis

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema

How do I identify the current macroeconomic cycle stage for asset allocation?▼

Macroeconomic cycle stage identification uses GDP, PMI, CPI, and term spreads to locate the economy on the Merrill Lynch clock. This framework estimates stage duration and translates the macro posture into over or under weights across equities, bonds, commodities, and cash for asset allocation guidance.

What is the best way to interpret central bank policy shifts across China, the US, and Europe?▼

Central bank policy interpretation reads the toolkits of the Fed, PBOC, and ECB to differentiate hawkish versus dovish stances. By comparing these policy signals, it surfaces cross-region policy conflicts and translates them into directional asset tilts and risk warnings.

Can I use macro indicators to recommend equity and bond tilts when policy tone shifts?▼

Yes, macro indicators integrate growth, inflation, rate, and FX signals to recommend asset allocation tilts. When policy tone shifts, it translates the macro posture into over or under weights across equities and bonds, including China or global style and sector preferences.

Does macro cycle analysis work for comparing US, European, and China data simultaneously?▼

Macro cycle analysis transforms sprawling macro data from China, the United States, and Europe into a single coherent cycle assessment. It evaluates each region's indicators and central bank policies simultaneously to provide institutional allocation guidance rather than interpreting releases in isolation.

What macroeconomic data do I need to assess the current Merrill Lynch clock position?▼

Assessing the Merrill Lynch clock position requires macroeconomic data including GDP, PMI, CPI, and term spreads. Evaluating these indicators locates the economy on the four-stage cycle model and estimates stage duration for confident asset tilts.