macro-analysis

Interpret macroeconomic indicators and central bank policies to determine economic cycle stages.

Updated Jul 29, 2026

Search Tags:#market analysis #asset allocation #investment strategy #macroeconomics #economic cycle #central bank

Ready to run

npx skills add https://github.com/santoosaraujo/vibe-trading-claude --skill macro-analysis-santoosaraujo

💬 Prompt for ChatGPT / Claude Chat▼

Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: macro-analysis
Source: https://github.com/santoosaraujo/vibe-trading-claude/tree/main/.claude/skills/macro-analysis
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/santoosaraujo/vibe-trading-claude --skill macro-analysis-santoosaraujo

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This skill solves the complexity of synthesizing fragmented macroeconomic data into actionable investment strategies by providing a structured framework for cycle positioning.

Core Features & Use Cases

Cycle Positioning: Identifies the current economic stage (Recovery, Overheat, Stagflation, or Recession) using the Merrill Lynch Clock framework.
Policy Interpretation: Decodes central bank signals from the Fed, PBOC, and ECB to predict monetary policy shifts.
Asset Allocation: Generates specific tilts for equities, bonds, and commodities based on current macro conditions.

Quick Start

Use the macro-analysis skill to evaluate the current economic cycle and provide an asset allocation recommendation for the US and China markets.

Frequently Asked Questions about macro-analysis

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema

How do I use macroeconomic indicators for asset allocation across major markets?▼

Asset allocation uses macroeconomic indicators by analyzing growth, inflation, and interest rate data across major global economies to provide directional investment guidance. It interprets central bank policies to determine economic cycle stages and derive specific portfolio tilts.

What is the Merrill Lynch Clock framework for economic cycle positioning?▼

The Merrill Lynch Clock framework is a mechanism for economic cycle positioning that identifies current economic stages—Recovery, Overheat, Stagflation, or Recession. It decodes central bank signals to predict monetary policy shifts and map them to specific asset allocation strategies.

How do central bank policies from the Fed, PBOC, and ECB impact investment strategy?▼

Central bank policies from the Fed, PBOC, and ECB impact investment strategy by signaling monetary policy shifts. Interpreting these signals alongside growth and inflation data allows for systematic macro research and precise portfolio tilt assessment based on current market conditions.

Can I generate specific portfolio tilts for equities, bonds, and commodities based on current macro conditions?▼

You can generate specific portfolio tilts for equities, bonds, and commodities based on current macro conditions. The process analyzes growth, inflation, and interest rate data to determine the economic cycle stage and translates this into actionable asset allocation recommendations.

What is the best way to decode global macro cycles for investment guidance?▼

The best way to decode global macro cycles is by synthesizing fragmented macroeconomic data into a structured framework. This involves interpreting indicators and central bank policies to determine economic cycle stages and derive systematic asset allocation strategies.

When should I not rely solely on macroeconomic analysis for portfolio management?▼

Macroeconomic analysis provides directional investment guidance based on current market data and cycle positioning, but it should not be the sole reliance for portfolio management when navigating highly localized market disruptions or short-term micro-structural volatility that diverges from global trends.