What problem does it solve?
It solves the challenge of turning scattered macro indicators and complex fixed-income market inputs (yield curves, inflation breakevens, and swap rates) into a coherent, decision-ready view of the macro-rates regime and financial conditions.
Core Features & Use Cases
- Macroeconomic cycle synthesis: Combines GDP, employment, and PMI signals to assess economic cycle position and momentum.
- Curve shape and policy signals: Builds yield curve snapshots and derives slope metrics (e.g., 2s10s, 3M-10Y) to classify curve regimes.
- Real vs nominal rate decomposition: Uses inflation breakevens to infer real rates across tenors and judge whether real yields are accommodative or restrictive.
- Financial conditions via swap spreads: Computes swap spreads to identify elevated vs stressed conditions and link rates dynamics to broader tightening/easing.
- Historical context: Anchors current yields versus recent pricing history to highlight trend and regime shifts.
Example use cases
Use it when monitoring macro conditions, analyzing yield curve shape changes, decomposing real vs nominal rate drivers, evaluating policy rate expectations through curve behavior, or assessing financial conditions through swap spreads.
Quick Start
Use the macro-rates-monitor skill to produce a macro and rates dashboard for the target country by pulling the latest macro indicators, curve data, inflation breakevens, and swap rates and synthesizing them into an overall regime assessment.