macro-research

Analyze macroeconomic reports with regime-aware data vintage and yield-curve flags.

Updated Apr 20, 2025
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/cathayrisk/Anya --skill macro-research
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Skill: macro-research
Source: https://github.com/cathayrisk/Anya/tree/main/cowork/skills/macro-research
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/cathayrisk/Anya --skill macro-research

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This Skill removes guesswork from macroeconomic document review by enforcing data-vintage checks, regime identification, dual-sided yield-curve interpretation, and explicit policy transmission assumptions so conclusions are transparent and conditional.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Data vintage & revision risk: Flags whether indicators are advance, revised, or final and documents historical revision profiles to qualify conclusions.
  • Regime identification & conditional conclusions: Classifies the macro environment (inflationary, tightening, stagflation, deflationary, expansion) and ties every conclusion to the regime under which it holds.
  • Yield curve dual-read & central bank analysis: Provides both bullish and bearish interpretations of yield-curve signals and a structured assessment of central bank forward guidance versus market pricing.
  • Use Case: Produce a conditioned report for a CPI release that highlights revision risk, places the result in the current monetary regime, interprets the 2s10s move both ways, and states policy transmission timing.

Quick Start

Analyze the latest CPI release and return a regime-aware summary with a data vintage flag, dual-direction yield curve interpretations, policy stance assessment, and transmission-lag assumptions.

Frequently Asked Questions about macro-research

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I analyze a CPI release for data vintage revision risk and monetary regime?

To analyze a CPI release for data vintage revision risk and monetary regime, apply regime-aware macroeconomic analysis to flag whether the indicator is advance, revised, or final, classifying the macro environment to qualify conclusions.

What's the best way to interpret yield curve signals for both bullish and bearish scenarios?

Interpreting yield curve signals for both bullish and bearish scenarios requires a dual-read approach that provides structured bullish and bearish interpretations of yield-curve movements alongside central bank forward guidance assessment.

How does central bank forward guidance assessment work with policy transmission lag assumptions?

Central bank forward guidance assessment works by structuring policy stance evaluation against market pricing and applying a checklist for transmission lag assumptions to state explicit policy transmission timing.

When do I need conditional macroeconomic analysis with regime identification?

You need conditional macroeconomic analysis with regime identification when reviewing macroeconomic reports or central bank communications so every conclusion is tied to the specific inflationary, tightening, stagflation, deflationary, or expansionary regime.

Can I use macroeconomic analysis to extract dual-direction signals from employment and GDP releases?

Yes, you can use macroeconomic analysis to extract dual-direction signals from employment and GDP releases by applying structured signal extraction and dual-direction interpretation to surface data vintage risks and policy transmission implications.

Why does macroeconomic forecasting require explicit data-vintage flags?

Macroeconomic forecasting requires explicit data-vintage flags to document historical revision profiles, ensuring that conclusions based on advance, revised, or final indicators remain transparent and conditional.