Market Capture Analysis

Generate revenue and EBITDA penetration grids across TAM/SAM/SOM market tiers.

4|Updated May 4, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills --skill market-capture-analysis
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: Market Capture Analysis
Source: https://github.com/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills/tree/main/market-capture-analysis
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/lossless-group/lossless-agent-skills --skill market-capture-analysis

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Venture capital analysts and investment teams often struggle to structure a clear, defensible answer to the foundational question of "how big can this company get?" without relying on vague, unchallenged assumptions. This skill eliminates that ambiguity by providing a standardized framework to map revenue and EBITDA potential across defined market penetration steps, with every assumption explicitly named for stakeholder review.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Standardized Penetration Grid: Structures revenue and EBITDA calculations across 8 penetration steps (1%, 3%, 5%, 10%, 25%, 35%, 50%, 60%) for TAM, SAM, and SOM market definitions, producing up to 144 data points to inform investment theses.
  • Assumption Transparency: Enforces explicit citation of all core inputs including pricing, business model, unit of sale, and EBITDA margins, eliminating hidden assumptions that undermine memo credibility.
  • Sibling Skill Integration: Pairs seamlessly with the timeline-scenario-analysis skill to validate not just the size of the prize, but the realistic path to capturing it, avoiding static, unachievable market projections.
  • Use Case: A VC analyst evaluating a B2B SaaS startup can use this skill to build a memo section showing the company's $120M revenue potential at 10% SAM penetration, with all $99/seat pricing and 22% EBITDA margin assumptions clearly stated for partnership debate.

Quick Start

Use the market-capture-analysis skill to build a revenue and EBITDA penetration grid for the target B2B startup using their stated $99 per-seat monthly pricing, 22% EBITDA margin assumption, and $1.2B SAM size, with the 10% SAM penetration cell marked as the base case for the investment memo.

Frequently Asked Questions about Market Capture Analysis

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I map venture capital revenue potential across TAM, SAM, and SOM tiers?

TAM/SAM/SOM market sizing works by applying your target company's pricing, business model, and EBITDA margins across eight standardized penetration steps (1% to 60%). This generates up to 144 data points to inform investment theses and base cases.

Can I build an investment memo revenue model using standardized market penetration steps?

Yes, you can build an investment memo revenue model by structuring calculations across eight penetration steps (1%, 3%, 5%, 10%, 25%, 35%, 50%, 60%) for TAM, SAM, and SOM definitions. This enforces assumption transparency by requiring explicit citation of pricing and unit of sale inputs.

How do I ensure my EBITDA analysis assumptions are transparent for partnership review?

You ensure EBITDA analysis assumptions are transparent by enforcing explicit citation of all core inputs including pricing, business model, unit of sale, and EBITDA margins. This eliminates hidden assumptions that undermine memo credibility and allows stakeholders to directly challenge base cases.

What is the best way to validate a B2B startup's path to target market capture levels?

Market sizing penetration grids are designed specifically for venture capital due diligence workflows where analysts evaluate maximum attainable company size. They are ideal for B2B SaaS startups, but require accurate existing pricing, business model constraints, and market definitions to produce defensible investment thesis artifacts.