mean-reversion

Analyze time series data for mean-reversion using ADF, Hurst exponent, and Variance Ratio tests.

266|54|Updated Mar 11, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/agiprolabs/claude-trading-skills --skill mean-reversion
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: mean-reversion
Source: https://github.com/agiprolabs/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/skills/mean-reversion
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/agiprolabs/claude-trading-skills --skill mean-reversion

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill requires pandas, numpy, scipy, httpx, and includes scripts (resource) and references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps traders identify and capitalize on the statistical tendency for prices or spreads to revert to their long-term average, especially in ranging markets.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Stationarity Testing: Utilizes ADF tests, Hurst exponent, and Variance Ratio tests to confirm mean-reverting behavior.
  • Parameter Estimation: Calculates half-life and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck parameters for strategy tuning.
  • Signal Generation: Generates trading signals based on z-score deviations from the rolling mean.
  • Use Case: Analyze the spread between two highly correlated cryptocurrencies to determine if it's mean-reverting, and if so, generate buy/sell signals when the spread deviates significantly from its average.

Quick Start

Run the mean-reversion analysis on synthetic data by executing python scripts/mean_reversion_test.py --demo.

Frequently Asked Questions about mean-reversion

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I test if a time series is mean-reverting using Python?

You test if a time series is mean-reverting by applying statistical tests like the ADF, Hurst exponent, and Variance Ratio to your price data using Python libraries such as pandas and scipy.

How do I calculate the half-life of mean reversion for a trading strategy?

You calculate the half-life of mean reversion by estimating Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process coefficients from your time series data, which helps tune your trading strategy parameters.

Can I generate pairs trading signals based on z-score deviations?

Yes, you can generate pairs trading signals by calculating z-score deviations from the rolling mean of an asset spread, triggering buy or sell actions when deviations become significant.

What statistical tests are used for stationarity testing in statistical arbitrage?

Stationarity testing in statistical arbitrage uses the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, Hurst exponent, and Variance Ratio tests to confirm mean-reverting characteristics in time series data.

Do I need specific Python dependencies to run mean reversion analysis?

Yes, you need Python libraries including pandas, numpy, scipy, and httpx to perform the statistical computation and data manipulation required for mean reversion analysis.

When should I use mean reversion strategies instead of trend following?

You should use mean reversion strategies instead of trend following in ranging markets, capitalizing on the statistical tendency for prices or spreads to revert to their long-term average.