What problem does it solve?
This Skill helps product teams uncover the real reasons a launch could fail before release, so they can prioritize meaningful risk mitigation instead of reacting too late. It turns vague concern into a structured pre-mortem based on PMContext, with explicit risk classification, ownership, and next actions.
Core Features & Use Cases
- Failure-backward risk analysis: Assumes the product failed 14 days after launch, then works backward with root-cause thinking to identify likely failure paths.
- Structured risk triage: Classifies issues into Tiger, Paper Tiger, and Elephant categories, then ranks urgency as Launch-Blocking, Fast-Follow, or Track.
- Assumption stress testing: Cross-checks low-confidence assumptions in PMContext and escalates fragile ones into actionable launch risks.
- Red-team validation: Extracts load-bearing assumptions, defines falsifiable failure conditions, and proposes the cheapest test that can run this week.
- Use cases: Ideal for launch readiness reviews, release risk workshops, stakeholder alignment before go-live, and stress-testing a PRD or PMContext before committing engineering effort.
Quick Start
Ask the AI to run pm-premortem on your PMContext when you want a launch-focused risk review with Tigers, action plans, and assumption checks.