pmf-analyzer

Generates three-case Product-Market Fit projections with retention modeling and periodic reporting.

Updated Apr 5, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/Simon-YHKim/eject-button --skill pmf-analyzer-simon-yhkim
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: pmf-analyzer
Source: https://github.com/Simon-YHKim/eject-button/tree/main/.claude/skills/pmf-analyzer
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/Simon-YHKim/eject-button --skill pmf-analyzer-simon-yhkim

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve? Founders and product managers struggle to objectively assess whether their product is approaching Product-Market Fit and to forecast active user growth under different scenarios before and after launch. ## Core Features & Use Cases - 3-Case Scenario Projection: Produces Optimistic, Base, and Pessimistic PMF scenarios with viral K-factor, D30 retention, and time-to-PMF estimates. - Quantitative PMF Frameworks: Applies the Sean Ellis test (40% very disappointed threshold), D30 retention, NPS, DAU/MAU, organic growth ratio, and CAC payback benchmarks. - Active User Forecasting: Models monthly active users from signup volume, activation rate, retention curves, and referral K-factor. - Periodic Reporting Mode: Generates weekly or monthly PMF dashboards with verdicts (PRE-PMF / APPROACHING / PMF ACHIEVED) and three recommended experiments. - Use Case: A pre-launch founder asks for a marketability analysis and receives a docs/pmf/pmf-analysis-<date>.md report with scenario tables, month-by-month active user projections, and key improvement levers. ## Quick Start Ask the assistant to run a PMF analysis for your product with expected monthly signups and retention assumptions to get a three-scenario projection report.

Frequently Asked Questions about pmf-analyzer

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I measure Product-Market Fit for my startup?

Product-Market Fit is measured using the Sean Ellis test, where at least 40% of users say they would be very disappointed without the product. Supporting metrics include D30 retention above 20% for B2C, NPS above 50, and DAU/MAU above 20%.

How to forecast active users before product launch?

Forecast active users by multiplying monthly signups by activation rate and retention, then adding retained existing users and referral-driven users via a K-factor. The model projects month-by-month active users across optimistic, base, and pessimistic scenarios.

What is a good D30 retention rate for PMF?

A D30 retention rate above 20% signals PMF for B2C products, while B2B products should target above 40%. Retention below 10% indicates weak differentiation and is a pivot signal in the pessimistic scenario.

Can PMF tracking be automated with periodic reports?

Yes, the periodic reporting mode generates weekly or monthly PMF dashboards covering Sean Ellis score, D30 retention, DAU/MAU, NPS, organic versus paid ratio, and MoM growth. Each report ends with a verdict and three recommended experiments.

What are the limitations of PMF projection models?

Projections depend heavily on assumed activation rates, retention curves, and K-factors, which are estimates before real data exists. Results should be treated as scenario ranges rather than precise forecasts and recalibrated once actual metrics arrive.