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Polymarket Bot

Automate Polymarket prediction market trades using AI research and Kelly Criterion.

6|Updated Jan 25, 2026
Search Tags:#ai#trading#autonomous#polymarket#prediction markets#seren
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/serenorg/seren-desktop --skill polymarket-bot
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent▼
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: Polymarket Bot
Source: https://github.com/serenorg/seren-desktop/tree/main/skills/polymarket-trader
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/serenorg/seren-desktop --skill polymarket-bot

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill requires requests, python-dotenv, python-dateutil, and includes scripts (resource) and references (resource) and assets (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill automates the process of identifying and executing trades on Polymarket prediction markets, leveraging AI for research and fair value estimation.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Autonomous Trading: Scans Polymarket for opportunities, researches them with AI, estimates fair value, and executes trades using Kelly Criterion.
  • AI-Powered Insights: Utilizes Perplexity for research and Claude for fair value estimation.
  • Risk Management: Implements Kelly Criterion for optimal position sizing and includes stop-loss mechanisms.
  • Use Case: A user wants to passively trade prediction markets. They can set up this bot to run autonomously, identifying and acting on profitable opportunities based on AI analysis and predefined risk parameters.

Quick Start

Use the Polymarket Bot skill to scan for trading opportunities in dry-run mode.

Frequently Asked Questions about Polymarket Bot

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I automate trading on Polymarket prediction markets?▼

You can automate Polymarket trading by running a bot that scans for opportunities, researches them with AI, estimates fair value, and executes trades autonomously using Kelly Criterion.

Can AI research and estimate fair value for prediction market trades?▼

Yes, this approach uses Perplexity for researching market opportunities and Claude for estimating fair value, enabling AI-powered insights to inform automated prediction market trades.

How do I manage risk when autonomously trading prediction markets?▼

Risk management in autonomous prediction market trading is handled by implementing Kelly Criterion for optimal position sizing and configuring stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential downside.

Does autonomous trading require a live account to start scanning Polymarket opportunities?▼

No, you can scan for trading opportunities in dry-run mode to identify and evaluate potential prediction market trades without executing them on a live Polymarket account.

What is the best way to size positions when trading prediction markets autonomously?▼

The optimal way to size positions for prediction market trading is using Kelly Criterion, which calculates bet sizes based on AI-estimated fair value and probabilities to maximize long-term returns.

Do I need Seren publishers to run an autonomous Polymarket trading bot?▼

Yes, the bot integrates with Seren publishers to source market data, AI research, LLM inference, and autonomous scheduling required to scan and trade Polymarket prediction markets.

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