What problem does it solve?
This Skill removes the complexity of building, fitting, and validating Bayesian models by providing a guided workflow for probabilistic programming, inference, and model checking in PyMC.
Core Features & Use Cases
- Bayesian Model Building: Create linear, logistic, hierarchical, count, and time-series models with weakly informative priors and named dimensions.
- Inference and Validation: Run MCMC or variational inference, then check priors, posterior predictive fit, convergence, effective sample size, and divergences.
- Model Comparison and Prediction: Compare alternatives with LOO or WAIC, interpret Pareto-k reliability, and generate predictions for new data.
- Use Case: A researcher can fit a multilevel model to grouped measurements, verify sampling quality, compare candidate specifications, and produce uncertainty-aware forecasts.
Quick Start
Ask the Skill to help you build, fit, and validate a PyMC Bayesian model for your dataset, including diagnostics and predictions.