risk-modeling

Build and analyze AI safety risk models with causal pathways and urgency.

Updated Feb 24, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/DouwMarx/evaluating-evaluations --skill risk-modeling-douwmarx
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: risk-modeling
Source: https://github.com/DouwMarx/evaluating-evaluations/tree/main/risk-modeling
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/DouwMarx/evaluating-evaluations --skill risk-modeling-douwmarx

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill requires numpy, pandas, scikit-learn, and includes scripts (resource) and references (resource) and assets (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps to model risk in AI safety scenarios, producing structured risk models that identify where AI is a decisive factor, estimate risk urgency, and create scoped measurement targets for further evaluations.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Risk Model Creation: Build risk models from AI safety scenarios.
  • Causal Pathway Analysis: Identify causal pathways and crux points in risk scenarios.
  • Risk Estimation: Estimate risk urgency based on current AI capabilities.
  • Use Case: When you need to analyze the risk of a specific AI safety scenario and want to prioritize evaluation efforts.

Quick Start

Run the risk-modeling skill to model the risk of the given AI safety scenario.

Frequently Asked Questions about risk-modeling

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I model risk for AI safety scenarios?

AI safety scenario risk modeling identifies causal pathways and crux points where AI acts as a decisive factor, producing structured risk models. It requires Python with numpy and pandas to estimate risk urgency based on current capabilities.

What is a causal pathway in AI risk management?

A causal pathway in AI risk management represents the sequence of events leading to a risk outcome. This skill identifies these pathways and crux points to estimate risk urgency and create scoped measurement targets for evaluations.

How do I estimate risk urgency based on current AI capabilities?

You estimate risk urgency by analyzing structured risk models against current AI capabilities. This skill uses Python data processing libraries like numpy, pandas, and scikit-learn to assess where AI is a decisive factor and prioritize evaluation efforts.

Do I need Python and scikit-learn to analyze AI risk assessment scenarios?

Yes, Python with numpy, pandas, and scikit-learn is required to perform this AI risk assessment. These dependencies handle the data processing and analysis needed to build structured risk models from safety scenarios.

What's the best way to prioritize AI safety evaluation efforts?

The best way to prioritize AI safety evaluation efforts is to build structured risk models that identify crux points and estimate risk urgency. This creates scoped measurement targets based on current AI capabilities to focus your evaluations.

Can I use risk modeling to create scoped measurement targets for AI evaluations?

Yes, risk modeling creates scoped measurement targets for AI evaluations by identifying where AI is a decisive factor in safety scenarios. The structured risk models map causal pathways to prioritize and guide your evaluation efforts.