Analyze macro regimes and debt-cycle phases using historical base rates.
npx skills add https://github.com/risingdream/roundtable --skill rt-dalio
Please help me install this Agent Skill. Skill: rt-dalio Source: https://github.com/risingdream/roundtable/tree/main/skills/investors/rt-dalio Command: npx skills add https://github.com/risingdream/roundtable --skill rt-dalio
This Skill helps you reason about macro markets using history-driven, framework-first analysis—so you can move from vague “where are we in the cycle?” questions to concrete positioning across environments and long debt-cycle dynamics.
Ask for a regime-aware macro analysis by saying: "rt-dalio, analyze the macro regime for the next 10 years and map it to the All Weather environments, including key indicators that would confirm or falsify your view."
High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.
To analyze the macro regime using a debt-cycle framework, map current economic observations to historical base rates and long/short debt-cycle phases. This process identifies the current environment and produces positioning guidance with explicitly stated pattern drivers.
Risk parity portfolio construction balances risk contributions across different assets rather than allocating equal capital. You need it during uncertain macro environments to translate regime conditions into diversified, All Weather style asset expectations that perform across varying growth and inflation cycles.
Identify the current debt crisis phase by mapping economic indicators against a stage checklist comprising early, bubble, top, depression, deleveraging, and normalization. This systematic diagnosis relies on historical base rates rather than intuition to guide risk management and positioning.
Yes, systematic decision-making generates investment positioning guidance by applying principles-first reasoning and believability-weighted analysis. It maps observations to relevant macro templates, producing evidence-based scenario reasoning with specific updating conditions for long-term horizons.
Regime assessment confirmation requires tracking specific evidence that validates or falsifies the mapped macro template over the investment horizon. The framework explicitly states pattern drivers and updating conditions, outlining what base-rate evidence would change the original conclusion.
Framework-driven macro analysis relies on historical base rates and recurring patterns, meaning it may struggle with unprecedented regime shifts. Positioning guidance requires continuous validation against stated updating conditions, as past debt-cycle mechanisms cannot guarantee future market environments.
nferrer-devQuery the Federal Reserve Economic Data API for macroeconomic time series.
brainbytes-devImplement diversified cross-asset systematic investment strategies with risk budgeting and backtesting.
ekremmkasapImplement and validate backtesting frameworks for quantitative trading strategies.
duolongworldIdentify short-term price reversal signals from volume and price divergence.
