scenario-simulator

Generate diverse agent personas and run multi-round deliberation simulations for counterfactual analysis.

Updated Mar 13, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/TECHKNOWMAD-LABS/cortex-research-suite --skill scenario-simulator
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: scenario-simulator
Source: https://github.com/TECHKNOWMAD-LABS/cortex-research-suite/tree/main/skills/scenario-simulator
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/TECHKNOWMAD-LABS/cortex-research-suite --skill scenario-simulator

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes scripts (resource) and references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps users explore potential future outcomes and understand the impact of different decisions or events by simulating complex scenarios with multiple perspectives.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Multi-Agent Simulation: Generates diverse AI personas with distinct viewpoints to deliberate on a given topic.
  • Counterfactual Analysis: Explores "what-if" scenarios by altering key assumptions.
  • Use Case: A product manager can use this Skill to simulate how different market reactions might play out after a new feature launch, considering perspectives from a skeptical analyst, an optimistic strategist, and a regulatory expert.

Quick Start

Use the scenario-simulator skill to simulate scenarios for deploying a federated learning system in hospitals.

Frequently Asked Questions about scenario-simulator

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I run a multi-agent simulation for scenario planning and complex decision analysis?

To run a multi-agent simulation for scenario planning, you define a topic and generate diverse AI personas with distinct viewpoints. The system then executes multi-round dialogue deliberation between these agents to explore counterfactual outcomes and strategic risks.

What is counterfactual reasoning and how does it apply to what-if analysis?

Counterfactual reasoning in what-if analysis involves altering key assumptions in a simulated scenario to explore divergent future outcomes. It helps users understand the potential impact of different decisions or events by comparing baseline projections against modified variables.

Can I use multi-agent deliberation to simulate market reactions for a new product feature launch?

Yes, you can simulate market reactions by generating agent personas representing different stakeholders, such as a skeptical analyst, an optimistic strategist, and a regulatory expert. These agents deliberate across multiple rounds to reveal varied market perspectives.

What's the best way to explore strategic risks using counterfactual scenario simulation?

The best way to explore strategic risks is to establish a baseline scenario and then systematically alter key assumptions to create branching logic. This assumption-based approach reveals how different variables impact potential future outcomes and risk exposure.

Does scenario simulation require structured persona generation to work effectively?

Yes, structured persona generation is a core requirement for effective scenario simulation. Defining distinct agent viewpoints and characteristics ensures the multi-round dialogue produces diverse, realistic perspectives for accurate deliberation and risk assessment.

When should I not use multi-agent simulation for strategic planning?

You should avoid multi-agent simulation for straightforward decisions with clearly defined single outcomes. It is designed for complex decision analysis requiring diverse perspectives and assumption-based branching, not simple linear forecasting or deterministic calculations.