What problem does it solve?
It reduces pre-market decision fatigue by turning scattered market signals and your positions into a structured, probability-aware briefing you can act on consistently.
Core Features & Use Cases
- Five pre-market observation indicators: VIX, IGV, MAGS, MEME, and Brent oil with predefined “danger/health” thresholds for risk-on/risk-off framing.
- Position tracking with structured JSON: Maintains stocks and options-related positions in
portfolio/portfolio.json and computes floating P&L to show what the market is doing to your book.
- Quant risk & event probability modules: Runs Monte Carlo option pricing, particle-filter based event probability tracking, and Copula-based portfolio tail-risk (VaR/ES) to quantify extreme scenarios.
- News verification guardrail: Validates geopolitical “signal” consistency across oil, VIX change, and index futures reaction before trading.
- Use Case: Before the open, you review indicator signals, check key support/resistance for tickers you hold, and update event probabilities (e.g., NVDA reaching a target) to decide whether to adjust or wait.
Quick Start
Use the stock-analyst skill to produce a pre-market report by pulling the five indicators and your configured portfolio from portfolio/portfolio.json, then running Monte Carlo + Copula VaR + event probability status in one workflow.