What problem does it solve?
Detects when iterative backtesting and parameter tuning have plateaued or produced brittle, overfitted strategies, and proposes structurally different strategy pivots to escape local optima and address cost, tail-risk, or robustness failures.
Core Features & Use Cases
- Stagnation Detection: Implements deterministic triggers (improvement_plateau, overfitting_proxy, cost_defeat, tail_risk) to flag when parameter tweaks are unlikely to improve real-world performance.
- Pivot Generation Techniques: Produces candidate strategy drafts using assumption inversion, archetype switch, and objective reframe approaches, then scores proposals by quality potential and novelty.
- Pipeline Integration & Outputs: Emits research_only and exportable pivot_drafts (YAML), pivot_report markdowns, pivot_manifest JSON, and pivot_diagnosis JSON suitable for feeding into edge-candidate-agent and backtest-expert pipelines.
- Use Case: When a quant's backtest scores plateau after multiple tuning rounds, use this Skill to generate ranked, structurally different strategy proposals (including export-ready tickets) to validate new hypothesis directions.
Quick Start
Run stagnation detection on your iteration history and generate up to three pivot drafts into the reports directory for review and pipeline export.