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npx skills add https://github.com/agentydragon/ducktape --skill superforecaster
Please help me install this Agent Skill. Skill: superforecaster Source: https://github.com/agentydragon/ducktape/tree/main/nix/home/claude_code/skills/superforecaster Command: npx skills add https://github.com/agentydragon/ducktape --skill superforecaster
Calibrate probability judgments in uncertain situations to improve decision-making by providing structured, evidence-based estimates rather than intuition alone.
Ask a probabilistic question in clear terms and the skill will return a calibrated forecast.
High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.
To get calibrated probability estimates, ask a clear probabilistic question and the skill applies superforecasting principles to return structured, evidence-based point estimates and confidence intervals.
Superforecasting improves risk analysis by replacing intuition alone with structured, evidence-based probability judgments and calibration frameworks, delivering measurable confidence intervals for uncertain scenarios.
Yes, probability forecasting adapts its question classification method to various domains including project planning and finance, generating scenario trajectories based on available data.
The best way to quantify uncertainty in scenario planning is using calibrated forecasting methods that produce structured probability estimates, confidence intervals, and scenario trajectories rather than intuition.
Uncertainty calibration outputs include probability point estimates, confidence intervals, and scenario trajectories, adapting to your desired output format and information availability.
GGsLATAMApply superforecasting principles to analyze probability-based scenarios and calibration.
thevibeworksCreate financial models with DCF, sensitivity analysis, and Monte Carlo simulation.
rancapolyGenerate scenario-based workforce demand forecasts with confidence intervals.
baphledPerform statistical analysis, mathematical modeling, and numerical methods for quantitative problems.
