thesis-tracker

Track and update investment theses with dated evidence and confidence changes.

Updated Aug 23, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/brianping7/volc-financial-services-skill-sets --skill thesis-tracker-brianping7
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
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Skill: thesis-tracker
Source: https://github.com/brianping7/volc-financial-services-skill-sets/tree/main/equity-research/thesis-tracker
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/brianping7/volc-financial-services-skill-sets --skill thesis-tracker-brianping7

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Keeps investment theses and position rationales organized, time-stamped, and easy to review so analysts and portfolio managers can quickly determine whether a thesis still holds or requires action.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Create and load structured theses: capture company, ticker, long/short stance, concise thesis statement, supporting pillars, risks, catalysts, target valuation, and stop-loss triggers.
  • Update log and scorecard: record dated data points, assess impact on thesis pillars (strengthen, weaken, neutral), specify recommended actions, and update confidence levels for ongoing monitoring.
  • Catalyst calendar and outputs: maintain an events calendar of upcoming catalysts and export concise markdown or Word summaries for morning meetings, portfolio reviews, or investment committee memos. Example: after an earnings miss, log the datapoint, mark which pillar it affects, lower confidence, and recommend trimming the position.

Quick Start

Update the ACME thesis with the new Q3 revenue miss on 2026-04-15, mark the impact as weakening the thesis, lower confidence to medium, and recommend reducing the position.

Frequently Asked Questions about thesis-tracker

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I track my investment thesis and log confidence changes over time?

Track an investment thesis by recording dated evidence and assessing impact on supporting pillars to update confidence levels. This maintains a structured, time-stamped log of data points, recommended actions, and scorecard changes for ongoing portfolio monitoring.

What is the best way to monitor stock catalysts and position management for portfolio reviews?

Monitor stock catalysts by maintaining an events calendar of upcoming earnings and company actions within your position management workflow. This generates structured markdown summaries and thesis scorecards for morning meetings and investment committee reviews.

Can I export investment thesis updates for investment committee memos?

Export investment thesis updates by generating concise markdown or Word summaries directly from the tracked data. These exported outputs capture company stance, thesis pillars, catalysts, and recommended actions for committee memos.

How do I record an earnings miss and adjust my long position thesis?

Record an earnings miss by logging the dated data point, marking which thesis pillar it weakens, and lowering your confidence level. The system then recommends reducing the position and updates the thesis scorecard for cross-session retrieval.

Does this thesis tracking approach work for both long and short equity positions?

Thesis tracking works for both long and short equity positions by capturing company stance, target valuation, and stop-loss triggers. It structures risks and catalysts uniformly so portfolio managers can review opposing positions within the same framework.

When should I update my investment thesis scorecard during portfolio monitoring?

Update your investment thesis scorecard during earnings, company events, and periodic portfolio reviews. Log new data points as they occur, assess whether they strengthen or weaken the thesis pillars, and adjust confidence levels to trigger recommended actions.