totals-modeling

Model NHL game total goals using pace, special teams, goalie matchups, and context.

2|1|Updated May 1, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/PuckAPI/claude-sports-analytics --skill totals-modeling
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: totals-modeling
Source: https://github.com/PuckAPI/claude-sports-analytics/tree/main/skills/totals-modeling
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/PuckAPI/claude-sports-analytics --skill totals-modeling

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill requires xgboost, scipy, pandas, and includes scripts (resource) and references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps users model the total goals scored in NHL games, enabling more informed over/under betting decisions.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Totals Prediction: Builds calibrated models to forecast total goals based on pace, special teams, goalie matchups, and game context.
  • Market Edge Analysis: Compares predicted probabilities with market lines to find over/under value opportunities.
  • Use Case: When asked about expected total goals or odds margins, generate probabilistic predictions and identify betting edges for NHL games.

Quick Start

Ask the AI to estimate game totals and market value, such as "What is the projected total for tonight's Sabres game and is there value on the over?"

Frequently Asked Questions about totals-modeling

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I model NHL game total goals for over/under betting?

To model NHL game total goals for over/under betting, integrate pace, special teams, goalie matchups, and contextual features to forecast scoring distributions and compare predicted probabilities against market odds.

What data do I need to predict NHL scoring distributions and identify betting edges?

Predicting NHL scoring distributions and identifying betting edges requires game results, team and goalie statistics, and market odds data to calibrate models and detect market inefficiencies in total goals.

How does pace and goalie matchup analysis work for hockey totals prediction?

Pace and goalie matchup analysis for hockey totals prediction works by integrating team pace and goalie stats with special teams data to optimize betting strategies and forecast expected total goals.

Can I use pandas and scipy to find market inefficiencies in NHL over/under lines?

Yes, you can use pandas and scipy to process NHL game results and stats, building calibrated models that compare predicted total goals probabilities with market odds to find over/under value opportunities.

What is the best way to calculate betting edges for NHL totals using xgboost?

The best way to calculate betting edges for NHL totals using xgboost is training models on pace, special teams, and goalie matchup features to generate probabilistic predictions and evaluate over/under lines.

Are there limitations when predicting NHL over/under lines with contextual features?

Limitations when predicting NHL over/under lines with contextual features include the necessity of comprehensive game results and market odds data for calibration, without which edge detection and market inefficiency evaluation may be inaccurate.