US Economics Analysis

Name: US Economics Analysis
Availability: InStock
Author: Severin-Ye

Interpret US economic indicators to forecast market risk and investment positioning.

3|Updated May 9, 2026

Search Tags:#asset allocation #inflation #market sentiment #yield curve #credit spreads #recession risk #us economics

Ready to run

npx skills add https://github.com/severin-ye/OpenStock--Analyst --skill us-economics-analysis

💬 Prompt for ChatGPT / Claude Chat▼

Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: US Economics Analysis
Source: https://github.com/severin-ye/OpenStock--Analyst/tree/main/src/investskill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/economics-analysis
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/severin-ye/OpenStock--Analyst --skill us-economics-analysis

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

It turns complex US economic indicators into a clear, actionable assessment of market conditions and likely investment implications.

Core Features & Use Cases

Economic cycle & policy impact: Interprets GDP, employment, consumption, PMI, CPI/PCE/PPI, wages, and Fed policy to frame recession/expansion risk.
Yield curve & rates analysis: Evaluates recession signals using yield-curve spreads (e.g., 3M10Y) plus real yields and breakeven inflation.
Credit and sentiment risk read: Assesses credit spreads, TED spread, MOVE index, and related leading indicators to infer tightening conditions and risk appetite.
Scenario-driven positioning: Produces sector and asset-class implications, including sector rotation guidance across equities, bonds, and commodities.

Quick Start

Run an economics assessment for the US by summarizing current growth, inflation, monetary policy, credit stress, and yield-curve signals into a bullish/neutral/bearish investment signal with confidence and horizon.

Frequently Asked Questions about US Economics Analysis

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema

How do I translate US macroeconomic data into actionable investment signals?▼

To translate US macroeconomic data into investment signals, analyze growth, inflation, monetary policy, credit stress, and yield-curve indicators to produce a standardized bullish, neutral, or bearish assessment with confidence and horizon metrics.

What does the yield curve spread indicate about recession risk?▼

The yield curve spread indicates recession risk by comparing rates like the 3M10Y to signal tightening conditions. Evaluating real yields and breakeven inflation alongside this helps frame the current expansion or recession risk environment.

How do I assess market sentiment and credit risk for portfolio positioning?▼

To assess market sentiment and credit risk for portfolio positioning, evaluate credit spreads, the TED spread, and the MOVE index to infer tightening conditions and risk appetite, which informs sector rotation across equities, bonds, and commodities.

Can I use LEI and Sahm rule logic to monitor US economic cycle risk?▼

Yes, you can use LEI and Sahm rule logic to monitor US economic cycle risk. Interpreting these recession-model inputs alongside GDP, employment, and consumption data frames the current economic cycle and supports portfolio decision making.

What is the best way to analyze Fed policy impact on asset allocation?▼

The best way to analyze Fed policy impact on asset allocation is to interpret monetary policy alongside CPI, PCE, and PPI data. This frames inflation trends and generates scenario-driven positioning guidance across different asset classes.

Are there limitations to using macro indicators for sector rotation scenarios?▼

Limitations of using macro indicators for sector rotation scenarios include the reliance on standardized recession-model inputs like yield-curve spreads and LEI, which may require adjusting confidence levels when real-time economic data deviates from historical patterns.