us-market-bubble-detector

Score US equity market bubble risk using eight quantitative indicators.

2.6k|600|Updated Oct 19, 2025
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: us-market-bubble-detector
Source: https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/skills/us-market-bubble-detector
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes scripts (resource) and references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps investors and traders quantify US market bubble risk using a structured, data-driven scoring framework. It replaces reliance on narratives with measured indicators and a transparent two-phase evaluation process.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Phase 1: Mandatory data collection for Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, and IPO activity
  • Phase 2: Mechanical scoring across eight indicators with explicit thresholds
  • Phase 3: Qualitative adjustment capped at +3 points with a confirmation-bias prevention checklist
  • Use cases: portfolio risk management, timing profit-taking, hedging, and scenario analysis

Quick Start

  • Run the Bubble-O-Meter to assess a ticker, for example: python bubble_scorer.py --ticker SPY --period 1y
  • Review the final score, phase, and recommended actions, and apply risk controls accordingly

Frequently Asked Questions about us-market-bubble-detector

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I quantify US market bubble risk using quantitative indicators?

You can quantify US market bubble risk by scoring eight quantitative indicators including Put/Call ratio, VIX, margin debt, breadth, and IPO activity. The Bubble-O-Meter applies a two-phase process of mechanical scoring and qualitative adjustment to deliver a final risk score.

What market breadth and VIX data do I need to assess equity bubble risk?

Assessing equity bubble risk requires mandatory data collection for Put/Call ratios, VIX levels, margin debt, market breadth, and IPO activity. These inputs feed into a mechanical scoring framework with explicit thresholds to generate a final bubble risk score.

Can I use margin debt and IPO activity to time profit-taking in the US stock market?

Yes, you can use margin debt and IPO activity alongside VIX and breadth to time profit-taking. The Bubble-O-Meter evaluates these indicators to provide actionable guidance for portfolio risk management, hedging, and timing decisions.

What is the best way to prevent confirmation bias when analyzing market bubble indicators?

The best way to prevent confirmation bias when analyzing market bubble indicators is to cap qualitative adjustments and apply a dedicated confirmation-bias prevention checklist. This ensures the final bubble risk score remains grounded in measured data thresholds.

Does the Bubble-O-Meter require external data feeds or paid dependencies to run?

No external dependencies are required to run the Bubble-O-Meter. The Skill operates standalone with internal scripts and references to collect and score the eight quantitative indicators needed for US market bubble risk evaluation.