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what-if-oracle

Generate multi-branch scenario analyses for speculative questions using the 0·IF·1 framework.

Updated Mar 10, 2026
Search Tags:#decision making#risk assessment#contingency planning#scenario analysis#what if#future planning
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/Yezez9/Research-Agent --skill what-if-oracle
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent▼
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: what-if-oracle
Source: https://github.com/Yezez9/Research-Agent/tree/main/scientific-skills/what-if-oracle
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/Yezez9/Research-Agent --skill what-if-oracle

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps users systematically explore uncertain futures by mapping out multiple potential scenarios and their consequences, moving beyond single predictions to understand the full possibility space.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Scenario Branching: Generates 4-6 distinct scenario branches (Best Case, Likely Case, Worst Case, Wild Card, Contrarian, Second Order) for comprehensive analysis.
  • Structured Analysis: Provides a detailed template for analyzing each branch, including probability, timeframe, assumptions, triggers, consequences, and required responses.
  • Synthesis: Offers methods for synthesizing findings, including probability distributions, robust actions, hedge actions, decision triggers, and identifying the "1% Insight."
  • Use Case: A startup founder can use this Skill to analyze the potential outcomes of launching a new product, considering best-case market adoption, worst-case competitive response, and unexpected technological shifts.

Quick Start

Use the what-if-oracle skill to explore the scenario of our primary supplier raising prices by 30% in Q3.

Frequently Asked Questions about what-if-oracle

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
What is scenario analysis and how does it help with contingency planning?▼

Scenario analysis maps multi-branch possibility spaces for speculative questions, generating 4-6 distinct branches like Best Case and Worst Case to facilitate structured contingency planning and risk assessment.

How do I conduct a what-if analysis for strategic business planning?▼

To conduct a what-if analysis, use a structured framework to generate 4-6 scenario branches including Best Case, Likely Case, Worst Case, Wild Card, Contrarian, and Second Order, then analyze probability, assumptions, triggers, and consequences for each branch.

Can I use this scenario branching approach for personal risk assessment?▼

Yes, scenario branching applies to risk assessment across business, technology, and personal domains, allowing you to systematically map potential futures, analyze triggers, and prepare required responses for any speculative decision.

What is the best way to synthesize findings from multiple what-if scenarios?▼

The best way to synthesize what-if scenario findings is to map probability distributions, identify robust and hedge actions, establish decision triggers, and extract a core "1% Insight" that summarizes the strategic takeaways across all analyzed branches.

What are the limitations of using a 0 IF 1 framework for future planning?▼

The 0 IF 1 framework for future planning requires defining specific assumptions and triggers for each branch, meaning its effectiveness is limited by the accuracy of your initial speculative inputs and the completeness of the multi-branch possibility space you map.

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