what-if-oracle

Explore multiple future scenarios with probability and consequence analysis.

Updated May 17, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/galeep/plugin-place --skill what-if-oracle-galeep
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: what-if-oracle
Source: https://github.com/galeep/plugin-place/tree/main/plugins/sci-research-methodology/skills/what-if-oracle
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/galeep/plugin-place --skill what-if-oracle-galeep

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes scripts (resource) and references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps users navigate complex decision-making by providing a structured framework for exploring multiple outcomes and their implications.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Structured What-If Analysis: Offers a systematic approach to exploring various scenarios based on probabilities and consequences.
  • Scalable Analysis: Supports 4-6 branches with a variety of perspectives (best, likely, worst, wild card, contrarian, second-order).
  • Use Case: Ideal for strategic planning, contingency preparation, and stress-testing decisions before implementation.

Quick Start

Run the What-If Oracle by asking, "What if our primary supplier raises prices 30% in Q3?" and let the system guide you through the analysis.

Frequently Asked Questions about what-if-oracle

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
What is structured what-if analysis for scenario planning?

Scenario planning helps you navigate complex decisions by systematically exploring uncertain futures and their implications. It provides a structured approach to assess probabilities and consequences across multiple branches for contingency preparation.

How do I conduct a risk assessment for a primary supplier raising prices?

You can conduct risk assessment by asking a what-if question about the supplier price change and letting the system guide you through the analysis. It systematically explores various scenarios based on probabilities and consequences to prepare contingencies.

Can I use this for strategic decision-making with multiple uncertain outcomes?

Yes, this framework supports strategic decision-making by exploring multiple uncertain outcomes through a scalable analysis structure. It evaluates 4-6 scenario branches including best, likely, worst, wild card, contrarian, and second-order perspectives.

What's the best way to prepare for contingency planning with multiple scenarios?

The best way to prepare for contingency planning is using a structured what-if framework that explores 4-6 scenario branches with varying perspectives. This approach assesses probabilities and consequences across best, likely, worst, wild card, and contrarian outcomes.

Does scenario analysis support second-order and contrarian perspectives?

Yes, scenario analysis supports second-order and contrarian perspectives alongside best, likely, worst, and wild card branches. This scalable structure enables comprehensive exploration of uncertain futures for strategic planning and risk assessment.

When should I not use what-if analysis for strategy development?

What-if analysis for strategy development is not suitable when you lack sufficient data to assess probabilities or when decisions require immediate implementation without time for structured scenario exploration and contingency preparation.