what-if-oracle

Map uncertain questions into multi-branch scenario analyses with probability distributions and decision triggers.

33.0k|3.2k|Updated Oct 19, 2025
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/K-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skills --skill what-if-oracle-k-dense-ai
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: what-if-oracle
Source: https://github.com/K-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skills/tree/main/scientific-skills/what-if-oracle
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/K-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skills --skill what-if-oracle-k-dense-ai

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

Helps users reason about uncertain futures by transforming vague questions into a structured, multi-branch scenario map that reveals different outcomes and potential risks.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Structured branching: generates 4–6 scenario branches (Ω Best Case, α Likely Case, Δ Worst Case, Ψ Wild Card, Φ Contrarian, ∞ Second Order) with narrative and quantitative cues.
  • Phase-based workflow: Frame the question, map the possibility space, analyze each branch, and synthesize actionable insights.
  • Decision support: outputs a probability distribution, branch-specific implications, and recommended actions to align with strategic goals.
  • Versatile use cases: strategic planning, product decisions, risk assessment, crisis preparedness, and long-term scenario planning.

Quick Start

Provide a sharpened What-If question and the skill will generate 4–6 branches with narratives and a synthesis.

Frequently Asked Questions about what-if-oracle

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I conduct scenario analysis for strategic planning under uncertainty?

Scenario analysis for strategic planning maps uncertain questions into 4–6 structured branches to reveal different futures. This process frames the question, maps the possibility space, analyzes each branch, and synthesizes actionable insights with probability distributions.

What is multi-branch scenario mapping and how does it work for risk assessment?

Multi-branch scenario mapping evaluates risk by generating branches like Best Case, Likely Case, Worst Case, and Wild Card. Each branch provides narrative and quantitative cues, culminating in a synthesis of robust actions and decision triggers to mitigate identified risks.

How do I structure a what-if analysis to evaluate different product roadmap outcomes?

To evaluate product roadmap outcomes, structure a what-if analysis through a four-phase workflow: frame the specific question, map the possibility space into 4–6 branches, analyze branch-specific implications, and synthesize robust actions aligned with strategic goals.

Can I use branching scenarios for long-term technology architecture decisions?

Yes, branching scenarios support long-term technology architecture decisions by mapping uncertain variables into structured outcomes. The analysis yields a probability distribution and recommended actions, ensuring architecture choices remain robust across Best, Likely, and Worst Case futures.

What is the best way to prepare a question for multi-branch scenario analysis?

The best way to prepare is to sharpen your What-If question into a clear, specific query. Providing a well-defined question allows the analysis to effectively generate 4–6 relevant branches with accurate narratives and a comprehensive synthesis.