WorldThreatModelHarness

Stress-test ideas across 11 world-model horizons from 6 months to 50 years.

1|Updated Apr 16, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/davdunc/pai-framework --skill worldthreatmodelharness-davdunc
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: WorldThreatModelHarness
Source: https://github.com/davdunc/pai-framework/tree/main/skills/Thinking/WorldThreatModelHarness
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/davdunc/pai-framework --skill worldthreatmodelharness-davdunc

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

It prevents blind optimism by systematically evaluating an idea, strategy, or investment against persistent world-models spanning 6 months to 50 years, highlighting where and why it breaks.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • 11 Horizon World Models: Maintains durable, per-horizon documents covering geopolitics, technology/AI, economics, society, environment, and security with wildcards.
  • Adversarial Viability Testing: Runs your input through RedTeam, FirstPrinciples (hard/soft constraints + challenged assumptions), and Council (deep tier) to surface failure modes.
  • Workflow Operations: Supports testing (fast/standard/deep), updating models via research, and viewing current model status and freshness.
  • Outputs Designed for Decision-Making: Produces consistent, horizon-separated verdicts (favorable/neutral/unfavorable) plus cross-horizon synthesis and actionable recommendations.

Quick Start

Run the workflow by saying: test idea "my strategy" standard.

Frequently Asked Questions about WorldThreatModelHarness

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I stress-test an investment strategy against long-term geopolitical and AI risk scenarios?

Threat modeling across 11 persistent world-model time horizons stress-tests your investment strategy from 6 months to 50 years, surfacing failure modes using adversarial analysis and challenged assumptions.

What is adversarial viability testing for future horizons scenario planning?

Adversarial viability testing evaluates your ideas through RedTeam and FirstPrinciples decomposition, identifying hard and soft constraints to reveal where and why your strategy breaks across future horizons.

How do I run a standard threat model assessment on a proposed strategy?

You can run a standard threat model assessment by prompting the workflow to test your idea, which generates horizon-separated verdicts and cross-horizon synthesis for decision support.

Can I update the world model documents with new research for scenario planning?

Yes, you can update on-disk world model documents via research operations, ensuring your geopolitics, technology, economics, and environment models reflect current data for accurate temporal viability assessment.

Does this threat modeling approach work for short-term strategy evaluation or only 50-year horizons?

This approach works for both short-term and long-term strategy evaluation, applying temporal viability assessment across 11 distinct time horizons ranging from 6 months up to 50 years.

What are the limitations of using first-principles decomposition for investment analysis?

First-principles decomposition for investment analysis relies on persistent world models that require periodic updates, meaning outdated model documents can impact the accuracy of cross-horizon synthesis and risk discovery.