What problem does it solve? Founders and operators struggle to build evidence-backed demand plans that reconcile sales history, commercial intelligence, and uncertainty across items, locations, channels, and customers. This Skill produces a consensus demand view with quantified confidence so inventory, sourcing, and cash decisions rest on validated forecasts rather than guesswork. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Consensus Demand Forecasting: Cleans history, separates baseline from events, selects forecast methods, and reconciles hierarchical forecasts with bias controls. - Risk-Adjusted Decision Framework: Ranks options by constraint compliance, confidence-weighted value, and reversibility, with explicit stop and escalation conditions. - Use Case: A founder asks how much inventory to commit for next quarter. The Skill loads company context and the digital twin, compares at least three feasible scenarios against the counterfactual, and recommends the highest confidence-weighted plan with monitoring thresholds. ## Quick Start Use demand planning to build a consensus forecast for our top products next quarter within our cash and capacity limits.