macro-analysis

Classify economic-cycle stages and derive major-asset allocation tilts from macroeconomic indicators.

Updated Apr 14, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/loanntc/Paave --skill macro-analysis-loanntc
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: macro-analysis
Source: https://github.com/loanntc/Paave/tree/main/skills/macro-analysis
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/loanntc/Paave --skill macro-analysis-loanntc

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps you interpret macroeconomic indicators and central-bank signals to determine where you are in the economic cycle and what major-asset direction to lean toward.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Economic-cycle positioning: Maps GDP, PMI, CPI/PPI, and liquidity signals into recovery, overheat, stagflation, or recession stages using a four-stage framework.
  • Central-bank policy interpretation: Builds a structured read of the Fed, PBOC, and ECB by translating policy statements and tools into easing/tightening implications.
  • Actionable portfolio output: Converts the cycle stage and policy stance into major asset allocation tilts (equities, bonds, commodities, cash) with supporting logic and risk warnings.
  • China/US/Europe coverage: Adjusts interpretation for China’s real-estate/infrastructure dynamics and uses global anchors like the USD and Treasury yields.

Quick Start

Ask the macro-analysis skill to assess the latest China, US, and global indicators and return the economic-cycle stage plus the implied major-asset allocation tilts and key risks.

Frequently Asked Questions about macro-analysis

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I use macroeconomic indicators to determine the current economic cycle stage?

Asset allocation tilts are determined by combining the identified economic-cycle stage with central-bank policy interpretation. This approach translates easing or tightening stances from the Fed, PBOC, or ECB into directional leans across equities, bonds, commodities, and cash.

Can I analyze economic cycles and asset allocation for both China and the United States?

Yes, you can perform cross-region analysis across China, the United States, and Europe. The interpretation adjusts for China’s real-estate and infrastructure dynamics while using global anchors like the USD and Treasury yields to standardize the macroeconomic assessment.

What is the best way to translate central bank policy into portfolio tilts?

The best way to translate central bank policy into portfolio tilts is by converting policy statements and tools into easing or tightening implications. This structured read of central-bank policy directly informs major-asset allocation direction with supporting logic and risk warnings.

What macroeconomic data inputs are needed to assess economic cycle positioning?

Required macroeconomic data inputs include GDP, CPI, PMI, rates, and FX metrics. These indicators feed into the economic-cycle classification and central-bank policy interpretation to generate actionable asset allocation recommendations.

Does this macro analysis approach output a structured portfolio recommendation?

Yes, the approach outputs a structured markdown template containing a macro snapshot, logic, and risk warnings. It satisfies structured requirements by converting cycle stages into specific major-asset allocation tilts for equities, bonds, commodities, and cash.