market-intelligence-researcher

What problem does it solve?

Stakeholders need to understand both what prediction markets expect to happen and what real-world events are occurring for a given topic, but manually cross-referencing disparate market data, news articles, official announcements, and analyst coverage is time-consuming and often misses critical divergences or leading indicators that impact decision-making.

Core Features & Use Cases

• Prediction Market Analysis: Aggregates active Polymarket markets, including probability odds, trading volume, 7-day price trends, and orderbook depth to measure market conviction and confidence.
• News & Source Triangulation: Pulls recent news from major outlets, official company announcements, regulatory filings, and industry analyst reports to validate or contradict market signals.
• Structured Intelligence Reports: Generates standardized, probability-weighted reports with executive summaries, signal alignment/divergence analysis, risk factors, and full source indexing for topics like product launches, regulatory changes, or supply chain developments.
• Use Case Example: A product manager researching the likelihood of AI regulation passing in 2026 can use this skill to get both the market's probability estimate and the latest legislative news, plus analysis of where the two sources agree or conflict.

Quick Start

Use the market-intelligence-researcher skill to generate a probability-weighted intelligence report on the likelihood of OpenAI releasing GPT-5 in 2026, including recent news coverage and prediction market trend analysis.