market-sizing

Estimates TAM, SAM, and SOM using top-down and bottom-up market analysis methods.

Updated Aug 10, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/Choi-Keith/skill-arsenal-ultra --skill market-sizing-choi-keith
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: market-sizing
Source: https://github.com/Choi-Keith/skill-arsenal-ultra/tree/main/plugins/pm-skills/pm-market-research/skills/market-sizing
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/Choi-Keith/skill-arsenal-ultra --skill market-sizing-choi-keith

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve? Product managers and founders often lack a structured way to quantify market opportunity, leading to unsupported guesses in strategy documents, investor pitches, and go/no-go decisions. ## Core Features & Use Cases - TAM/SAM/SOM Estimation: Calculates total addressable, serviceable, and obtainable market with both top-down and bottom-up cross-validation. - Growth Forecasting: Projects how market size evolves over 2-3 years and identifies expansion or contraction drivers. - Assumption Auditing: Lists every key assumption with confidence levels and validation methods. - Use Case: Before a funding round, ask the Skill to size the market for your B2B SaaS product in Southeast Asia; it produces a sourced TAM/SAM/SOM table with reasoning you can paste into your pitch deck. ## Quick Start Estimate the market size for AI-powered customer support tools in North America using TAM, SAM, and SOM analysis.

Frequently Asked Questions about market-sizing

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I calculate TAM, SAM, and SOM for a new product?

Start with a top-down estimate from total industry size, narrowing by segment and geography, then cross-validate with a bottom-up calculation of customers times price times frequency. SAM is the portion your product can serve; SOM is the share realistically winnable in 1-3 years.

What is the difference between top-down and bottom-up market sizing?

Top-down starts from overall industry revenue and filters down to your relevant segment. Bottom-up builds from unit economics like customer count, price, and purchase frequency. Using both methods lets you cross-check and reconcile the estimates.

Can market sizing analysis be used for investor pitch decks?

Yes, the output includes a market summary table with current and projected TAM, SAM, and SOM figures plus sourced reasoning, which fits directly into fundraising materials. Assumptions are documented so investors can scrutinize the logic.

How do I validate market size assumptions with low confidence?

The analysis flags each assumption with a high, medium, or low confidence rating and suggests how to verify the most uncertain ones. It also recommends specific data sources or research directions to improve estimate precision.

What are the limitations of TAM SAM SOM market analysis?

Estimates depend heavily on assumption quality and available industry data, so wide confidence intervals are common in emerging markets. Results should be treated as directional estimates, not precise figures, and revisited as new data arrives.