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polymarket-trader

Analyze Polymarket markets and generate ranked edge-based trading plans.

Updated Mar 18, 2026
Search Tags:#forecasting#trading#edge#prediction-markets#polymarket#kelly
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/mdbh202/polymarket-bot --skill polymarket-trader
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent▼
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: polymarket-trader
Source: https://github.com/mdbh202/polymarket-bot/tree/main/.gemini/skills/polymarket-trader
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/mdbh202/polymarket-bot --skill polymarket-trader

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

The polymarket-trader skill acts as the primary orchestrator for a Polymarket AI trading bot, streamlining market discovery, research, forecasting, risk management, and execution planning to identify edges and output actionable trade recommendations.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Orchestrates data ingestion, multi-tier research (official signals, news, consensus, sentiment), and probability forecasting.
  • Computes raw and after-fee edges, sizes positions using a Polymarket-specific Kelly framework, and formats a structured report for decision-making.
  • Supports ranking and selective execution for analyses or batch market scans across varying liquidity.

Quick Start

Ask the agent to analyze Polymarket markets and generate a ranked edge-based trading plan.

Frequently Asked Questions about polymarket-trader

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I analyze Polymarket prediction markets to find actionable trading edges?▼

Polymarket position sizing uses a Polymarket-specific Kelly framework to calculate risk-aware trade recommendations, balancing potential edge against liquidity constraints to optimize batch market scans.

What data sources do I need to scan live prediction markets and forecast probabilities?▼

Scanning live prediction markets requires integrating market APIs and signals including get_markets, get_orderbook, get_history, search_news, and get_prediction_market_consensus to ingest data and produce structured output.

Can I use this to rank and execute batch market scans across varying liquidity?▼

Yes, you can use this skill for prediction market trading if you have access to the required market APIs and signals, as it automates market discovery, forecasting, and risk management without additional dependencies.

How does this approach compute raw and after-fee edges for forecasting?▼

This approach differs from standard prediction market analysis by applying a Polymarket-specific Kelly framework for position sizing and utilizing multi-tier signals across official sources, news, and sentiment for comprehensive edge assessment.

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